ADT ADT Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

ADT in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 09, 2026

ADT moved below its 50-day moving average on September 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 43 of 60 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADT moved out of overbought territory on August 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 70%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ADT as a result. In 68 of 106 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ADT turned negative on August 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 64%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

The Aroon Indicator for ADT entered a downward trend on September 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +0.79% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADT advanced for three days, in 168 of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

ADT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 13 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.481) is normal, around the industry mean (3.284). P/E Ratio (9.792) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.360). ADT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.467). Dividend Yield (0.031) settles around the average of (0.023) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.181) is also within normal values, averaging (2.115).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock worse than average.