AGNC AGNC Investment Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Aroon Indicator for AGNC shows an upward move is likely

AGNC's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on February 20, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 320 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 320 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AGNC just turned positive on January 15, 2025. Looking at past instances where AGNC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AGNC moved above its 50-day moving average on January 15, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AGNC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 22, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AGNC advanced for three days, in of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 14 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 22 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

AGNC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 16, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.029) is normal, around the industry mean (1.987). P/E Ratio (196.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (62.577). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.484) is also within normal values, averaging (7.058). AGNC has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.147) as compared to the industry average of (0.068). AGNC's P/S Ratio (24.213) is slightly higher than the industry average of (7.119).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AGNC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AGNC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.