AGRO Adecoagro SA Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

AGRO in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on August 19, 2026

AGRO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 39 of the 52 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 75%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AGRO moved out of overbought territory on September 11, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 25 of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 74%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AGRO as a result. In 61 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AGRO turned negative on September 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 72%.

The 50-day moving average for AGRO moved below the 200-day moving average on August 12, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AGRO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

AGRO moved above its 50-day moving average on August 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AGRO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 24, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

Following a +2.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AGRO advanced for three days, in 212 of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 159 of 187 cases where AGRO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 85%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 21 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.950) is normal, around the industry mean (2.869). P/E Ratio (30.164) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.266). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.050) is also within normal values, averaging (2.447). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.016) is also within normal values, averaging (2.353).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AGRO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.