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ADM vs AGRO
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADM is a Hold and AGRO is a Hold.
ADM in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026
The 10-day moving average for ADM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADM as a result. In 53 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADM just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
ADM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +4.00% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADM advanced for three days, in 199 of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
ADM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADM moved out of overbought territory on September 11, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 69%.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The Aroon Indicator for ADM entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 27 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.643) is normal, around the industry mean (2.673). P/E Ratio (21.962) is within average values for comparable stocks, (33.850). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.993) is also within normal values, averaging (2.441). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.502) is also within normal values, averaging (2.353).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
AGRO sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
AGRO saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 15, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 45 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 78%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AGRO as a result. In 61 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
AGRO moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AGRO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AGRO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
The Aroon Indicator for AGRO entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AGRO's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 16 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +2.93% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AGRO advanced for three days, in 219 of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 19 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.835) is normal, around the industry mean (2.673). P/E Ratio (26.506) is within average values for comparable stocks, (33.850). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.050) is also within normal values, averaging (2.441). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.016) is also within normal values, averaging (2.353).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AGRO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AGRO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
ADM | AGRO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 5 | 57 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 27 Undervalued | 19 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 75 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 77 | 85 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 23 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 15 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AGRO's Valuation (19) in the Agricultural Commodities Or Milling industry is in the same range as ADM (27). This means that AGRO’s stock grew similarly to ADM’s over the last 12 months.
ADM's Profit vs Risk Rating (61) in the Agricultural Commodities Or Milling industry is in the same range as AGRO (75). This means that ADM’s stock grew similarly to AGRO’s over the last 12 months.
ADM's SMR Rating (77) in the Agricultural Commodities Or Milling industry is in the same range as AGRO (85). This means that ADM’s stock grew similarly to AGRO’s over the last 12 months.
ADM's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Agricultural Commodities Or Milling industry is in the same range as AGRO (59). This means that ADM’s stock grew similarly to AGRO’s over the last 12 months.
AGRO's P/E Growth Rating (23) in the Agricultural Commodities Or Milling industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ADM (58). This means that AGRO’s stock grew somewhat faster than ADM’s over the last 12 months.
| ADM | AGRO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 69% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 3 days ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 5 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 61% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while AGRO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ADM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- AGRO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADM’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while AGRO’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- AGRO’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ADM (@Agricultural Commodities/Milling) experienced а +3.40% price change this week, while AGRO (@Agricultural Commodities/Milling) price change was -2.05% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Agricultural Commodities/Milling industry was -1.85%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16.94%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADM is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
AGRO is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Agricultural Commodities/Milling (-1.85% weekly)The Agricultural Commodities/Milling industry includes companies that are involved in farming activities, such as crop production, livestock management and animal feed, for commercial purposes. The industry includes a wide range of operations from growing corn, to grain and oilseed processing to the operation of flour mills. Changes in consumer tastes is one of the critical factors influencing what products are grown and raised in this industry. Potential risks to the business include climate change and fluctuations in global prices of agricultural products. Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Elanco Animal Health, Inc., Bunge Limited and Canopy Growth Corporation are some of the biggest U.S. companies operating in this industry.
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ADM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ADM has been closely correlated with BG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ADM jumps, then BG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ADM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADM | 100% | -0.39% | ||
| BG - ADM | 71% Closely correlated | -0.81% | ||
| AGRO - ADM | 26% Poorly correlated | -0.20% | ||
| AFRI - ADM | 18% Poorly correlated | -0.08% | ||
| SDOT - ADM | 18% Poorly correlated | -6.94% | ||
| TSN - ADM | 13% Poorly correlated | +1.59% | ||
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AGRO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that AGRO and BG have been poorly correlated (+30% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that AGRO and BG's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AGRO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGRO | 100% | -0.20% | ||
| BG - AGRO | 30% Poorly correlated | -0.81% | ||
| ADM - AGRO | 25% Poorly correlated | -0.39% | ||
| AFRI - AGRO | 22% Poorly correlated | -0.08% | ||
| LND - AGRO | 19% Poorly correlated | +0.28% | ||
| CHSCO - AGRO | 18% Poorly correlated | -0.82% | ||
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