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Oct 26, 2026
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Agilysys (AGYS) Delivers Strong Quarter but Shares Fall 8.7%

Agilysys (AGYS) Delivers Strong Quarter but Shares Fall 8.7%

Key Takeaways

  • Agilysys reported fiscal second-quarter 2027 revenue of $93.36 million, up 17.7% year over year and above the roughly $90.97 million consensus estimate.
  • Adjusted earnings per share (EPS, or profit allocated to each outstanding share) reached $0.67, topping the $0.55 consensus by about 21.5%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) came in at $24.15 million, a 25.9% margin, ahead of the roughly $20.1 million analysts expected.
  • Management lifted full-year fiscal 2027 revenue guidance to a $376 million midpoint, up from the prior $370.5 million.
  • Despite the beat-and-raise quarter, shares fell roughly 8.7% to about $112.60, signaling that investor expectations had already run high.
  • For more on the company, explore its Major News, Today's Price Move, Price Targets, and Forecast on Tickeron.
  • Discover actionable trade ideas powered by AI by exploring Trending AI Robots.

Why These Results Matter

AGYS provides software for the hospitality sector, and its performance offers a useful read on tech spending trends among hotels, resorts, casinos, and food-service operators. Its fiscal year ends March 31, so the second quarter of fiscal 2027 covers the three months ended September 30, 2026. The report is worth attention because it shows whether the company can keep extending its streak of record revenue and subscription growth while protecting profitability. A major property-management-system rollout is in progress, and new AI-native modules are in development, so both top-line growth and margin trends are under scrutiny in a competitive environment.

The Quarter in Detail

Revenue came in at $93.36 million for the quarter, marking a 17.7% increase from the same period last year and a 2.6% beat relative to the $90.97 million consensus. Adjusted EPS of $0.67 surpassed the $0.55 estimate by roughly 21.5%, and adjusted EBITDA reached $24.15 million for a 25.9% margin—about 20% above the $20.1 million expected. Full-year revenue guidance was raised to a $376 million midpoint from the prior $370.5 million, roughly 1.4% above the prevailing analyst view. Operating margin eased to 16.3% from 17.8% a year earlier, though free cash flow margin improved to 15.9% from 8.3% in the prior quarter. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.

How Investors Responded

Despite the beats on revenue, adjusted EPS, and adjusted EBITDA, along with the raised guidance, shares of AGYS declined about 8.7% to roughly $112.60 right after the release. This reaction points to expectations already being elevated, leaving limited room for any nuance on forward commentary or margin detail. The year-over-year drop in operating margin drew particular focus as investors balanced growth against profitability.

What Comes Next

Going forward, the key will be how AGYS manages rapid subscription growth alongside rising costs. Management has set a target of at least 30% subscription revenue growth for fiscal 2027 and expects adjusted EBITDA near 24% of revenue for the full year. Maintaining that margin level while funding product development and the large rollout will remain a central focus. Product innovation also bears watching, as the company is developing AI-native modules such as revenue intelligence and central reservation tools to fill gaps in its hospitality platform. How quickly these translate into bookings and recurring revenue will help show whether current growth can hold. This quarter’s reaction underscores that strong results by themselves may not be enough when expectations are high; execution on deployments, retention, and margins will likely carry equal weight in shaping sentiment for the rest of the fiscal year.

Refining My Research with Tickeron’s AI Screener

I often turn to Tickeron’s AI Screener when reviewing earnings like these. It lets me filter stocks by fundamentals, technical patterns, and AI signals to compare AGYS against peers and spot ideas that fit my approach. The tool has become a regular part of how I narrow watchlists efficiently.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: AGYS

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


AGYS's RSI Oscillator sits in overbought zone for 3 days

The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AGYS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

AGYS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for AGYS entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AGYS as a result. In 65 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AGYS just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where AGYS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

AGYS moved above its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AGYS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

Following a +4.03% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AGYS advanced for three days, in 223 of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 35 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AGYS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 91 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (10.292) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.853). P/E Ratio (80.686) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.200). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.187) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.075) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (9.083) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 11.27B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39 to 274.86B. SAP holds the highest valuation in this group at 274.86B. The lowest valued company is STIXF at 39.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 5%. BRZE experienced the highest price growth at 56%, while HODO experienced the biggest fall at -30%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -55%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -31% and the average quarterly volume growth was -47%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 10 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of enterprise computer system integration, software consulting and related information technology services

Industry PackagedSoftware

Industry
Packaged Software
Address
3655 Brookside Parkway
Phone
+1 770 810-7800
Employees
2413
Web
https://www.agilysys.com