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AIR Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Broadening Top AIR on September 24, 2024, netting in a 7.51% gain over 3 weeks

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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+7.51% Gain from a Successful pattern Broadening Top
AIR - AAR Corp
Tickeron
Ticker: AIR
Company: AAR
Gain from shortening: +7.51%
Confirmed: 09/24/24
Succeeded: 10/09/24
Total length: 26 days
On September 13, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Broadening Top Pattern (Bearish) for AAR Corp (AIR, $67.64). 11 days later, on September 24, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On October 09, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $60.20 – resulting in a gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

AIR in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on November 08, 2024

AIR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 08, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 44 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AIR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for AIR entered a downward trend on November 08, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AIR's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AIR as a result. In of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AIR just turned positive on November 06, 2024. Looking at past instances where AIR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AIR moved above its 50-day moving average on November 08, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AIR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 14, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AIR advanced for three days, in of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AIR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.963) is normal, around the industry mean (7.188). P/E Ratio (36.547) is within average values for comparable stocks, (56.476). AIR's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.765). AIR has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.015). P/S Ratio (0.967) is also within normal values, averaging (4.290).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

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AIR
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General Information

a provider of diverse products and services to commercial aviation and government/defense industries

Industry AerospaceDefense

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Aerospace And Defense
Address
1100 N. Wood Dale Road
Phone
+1 630 227-2000
Employees
5000
Web
https://www.aarcorp.com