ALCO Alico Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

ALCO in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on September 29, 2026

ALCO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 25 of 35 cases where ALCO's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +0.75% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALCO advanced for three days, in 191 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ALCO as a result. In 59 of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ALCO turned negative on September 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 20 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 45%.

ALCO moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ALCO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 17, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 33%.

The 50-day moving average for ALCO moved below the 200-day moving average on September 15, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALCO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.

The Aroon Indicator for ALCO entered a downward trend on October 01, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ALCO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.771) is normal, around the industry mean (2.673). ALCO's P/E Ratio (186.000) is considerably higher than the industry average of (33.850). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.040) is also within normal values, averaging (2.441). ALCO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.005) as compared to the industry average of (0.034). ALCO's P/S Ratio (17.544) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.353).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALCO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.