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ALRM
Stock ticker:
NASDAQ
AS OF
Aug 5 closing price
Price
$72.70
Change
-$0.17 (-0.23%)
Capitalization
3.64B

ALRM Alarm.com Holdings Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

a holding company and Provides wireless and web-enabled security system technology
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for AAPL with price predictions
12:00 AM EDT Aug 05, 2022

ALRM in +3.66% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on August 04, 2022

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where ALRM advanced for three days, in 257 of 357 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for ALRM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 30, 2022. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 257 cases where ALRM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ALRM moved out of overbought territory on August 05, 2022. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALRM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ALRM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 20, 2022. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ALRM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.468) is normal, around the industry mean (29.263). P/E Ratio (80.645) is within average values for comparable stocks, (141.562). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.934) is also within normal values, averaging (4.669). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.907) is also within normal values, averaging (112.722).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

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ALRM
Buy/Sell Ratings
 
 
Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
 
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

ALRM is expected to report earnings to rise 5.82% to 41 cents per share on August 09

Alarm.com Holdings ALRM Stock Earnings Reports
Q2'22
Est.
$0.41
Q1'22
Beat
by $0.06
Q4'21
Beat
by $0.11
Q3'21
Beat
by $0.15
Q2'21
Beat
by $0.15
The last earnings report on May 05 showed earnings per share of 38 cents, beating the estimate of 32 cents. With 125.42K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 3.64B.
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a holding company and Provides wireless and web-enabled security system technology

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Information Technology Services
Address
8281 Greensboro Drive
Phone
+1 877 389-4033
Employees
1500
Web
https://www.alarm.com

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ALRM and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALRM has been closely correlated with ANSS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ALRM jumps, then ANSS could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ALRM
1D Price
Change %
ALRM100%
-0.23%
ANSS - ALRM
68%
Closely correlated
-2.44%
TYL - ALRM
67%
Closely correlated
+0.90%
PCTY - ALRM
67%
Closely correlated
+12.72%
CDAY - ALRM
66%
Loosely correlated
+0.25%
SNPS - ALRM
65%
Loosely correlated
+0.54%
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