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ALRM vs CPAY
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALRM is a Buy and CPAY is a Hold.
ALRM in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026
The 10-day moving average for ALRM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
ALRM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALRM advanced for three days, in 169 of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 83 of 164 cases where ALRM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 51%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ALRM moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 17 of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 63%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 61 cases where ALRM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALRM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
ALRM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ALRM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 77 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.693) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.906). P/E Ratio (27.439) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.554). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.422) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.069) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.976) is also within normal values, averaging (70.383).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALRM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
CPAY in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026
The 10-day moving average for CPAY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CPAY as a result. In 47 of 77 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CPAY just turned positive on November 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where CPAY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 35 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
CPAY moved above its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.45% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CPAY advanced for three days, in 235 of 353 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 181 of 270 cases where CPAY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CPAY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
CPAY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CPAY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.438) is normal, around the industry mean (16.272). P/E Ratio (27.337) is within average values for comparable stocks, (52.956). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.757) is also within normal values, averaging (3.648). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.430) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.528) is also within normal values, averaging (103.889).
ALRM | CPAY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 43 | 40 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 77 Overvalued | 70 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 29 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 59 | 33 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 37 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 17 | 11 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CPAY's Valuation (70) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as ALRM (77) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that CPAY’s stock grew similarly to ALRM’s over the last 12 months.
CPAY's Profit vs Risk Rating (29) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is significantly better than the same rating for ALRM (100) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that CPAY’s stock grew significantly faster than ALRM’s over the last 12 months.
CPAY's SMR Rating (33) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as ALRM (59) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that CPAY’s stock grew similarly to ALRM’s over the last 12 months.
CPAY's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as ALRM (37) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that CPAY’s stock grew similarly to ALRM’s over the last 12 months.
CPAY's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as ALRM (17) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that CPAY’s stock grew similarly to ALRM’s over the last 12 months.
| ALRM | CPAY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 60% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 66% | 14 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 67% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALRM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while CPAY’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- ALRM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- CPAY’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALRM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CPAY’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALRM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- CPAY’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ALRM (@Packaged Software) experienced а -0.97% price change this week, while CPAY (@Computer Communications) price change was +11.89% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -0.28%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.18%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Communications industry was -2.23%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -13.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.29%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALRM is expected to report earnings on Feb 25, 2027.
CPAY is expected to report earnings on Feb 10, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (-0.28% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
@Computer Communications (-2.23% weekly)Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.
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ALRM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALRM has been loosely correlated with SPSC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ALRM jumps, then SPSC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ALRM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALRM | 100% | +0.55% | ||
| SPSC - ALRM | 60% Loosely correlated | -1.06% | ||
| VERX - ALRM | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.29% | ||
| CLSK - ALRM | 59% Loosely correlated | +12.18% | ||
| CPAY - ALRM | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.62% | ||
| FIVN - ALRM | 58% Loosely correlated | +2.67% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| AAUA | 57.44 | 1.58 | +2.82% |
| Alpha Architect US Equity 3 ETF (AAUA) | |||
| IYC | 105.87 | 2.55 | +2.47% |
| iShares U.S. Consumer Discretionary ETF (IYC) | |||
| EMCB | 64.26 | 0.20 | +0.31% |
| WisdomTree Emerging Markets Corporate Bond Fund (EMCB) | |||
| PQJL | 31.00 | N/A | N/A |
| PGIM NASDAQ-100 BUFFER 12 ETF - JULY | |||
| BPH | 69.72 | -0.50 | -0.72% |
| BP PLC ADRHEDGED | |||