ALRM Stock Alarm.com Holdings (ALRM, $61.05) was a top quarterly gainer, rising +25.93%. Expect an Uptrend reversal

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ALRM - Alarm.com Holdings

3-month gain

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Odds of DOWN Trend

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Price: $61.05

Daily change: +$11.84 (+24.06%)

Daily volume: 1.1M

3-month price change: +$12.57 (+25.93%)

Capitalization: $2.5B

Industry: Packaged Software

Momentum Indicator for ALRM turns positive, indicating new upward trend

ALRM saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on August 13, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 84 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 84 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ALRM just turned positive on August 13, 2025. Looking at past instances where ALRM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ALRM moved above its 50-day moving average on August 13, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALRM advanced for three days, in of 289 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALRM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ALRM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for ALRM entered a downward trend on August 12, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ALRM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.552) is normal, around the industry mean (11.818). P/E Ratio (23.845) is within average values for comparable stocks, (121.440). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.312). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.498) is also within normal values, averaging (89.811).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALRM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.