GET DAILY SIGNALSAlTi Global (ALTI) Drops -17% Over 30 Days: Earnings and Outflows Weigh on Shares
Key Takeaways
- ALTI shares declined roughly 17% over the last 30 days, sliding from about $2.42 in mid-October to near $2.01 and trading near 52-week lows.
- The selling accelerated after third-quarter results, which included guidance for a projected $20 million to $23 million noncash loss on the Zebedee stake in the fourth quarter.
- Third-quarter net wealth-management outflows of about $250 million and revenue growth of just 1% year over year weighed on investor sentiment.
- The stock is down more than 50% over the last quarter, unwinding a mid-August rally driven by reported acquisition interest.
- AlTi continues to report operating losses and negative free cash flow, and it has disclosed a material weakness in its internal controls over financial reporting.
- Cost-cutting and a new $85 million credit facility support the balance sheet, but recurring profitability remains the central focus.
AlTi Global’s Business and Market Position
AlTi Global, Inc. (ALTI) operates as an independent global wealth and investment manager focused on ultra-high-net-worth individuals, multi-generational families, foundations, and institutions. The firm manages or advises on approximately $95 billion in combined assets across roughly 19 offices in 9 countries, supported by about 450 to 490 professionals.
Its core activities include discretionary and non-discretionary investment management, trust and fiduciary services, family office services, estate and wealth planning, and philanthropy. The firm also runs an alternatives platform and holds stakes in external strategic managers, such as event-driven and European equities funds. Revenue comes mainly from management and advisory fees, incentive fees, and investment distributions, with a largely recurring fee base.
After discontinuing its international real estate business in 2025, AlTi reports as a single segment centered on wealth and capital solutions. Investors track the stock for its ultra-high-net-worth franchise, strong client retention, and recurring revenue, while noting ongoing operating losses and integration costs.
ALTI Stock Performance Over the Past 30 Days and Quarter
Over the last 30 days, ALTI shares fell from a closing price of about $2.42 in mid-October to roughly $2.01, a decline of approximately 17%. The move was not linear: the stock briefly traded above $2.90 intraday in early November before giving back those gains following earnings. The decline pushed shares toward the lower end of their 52-week range.
The weakness is even more pronounced over the last quarter. From a mid-August close near $4.07, the stock has fallen more than 50%, reversing a sharp rally that occurred when acquisition interest was reported. The multi-month trend has been decisively lower as speculative enthusiasm faded and fundamental concerns reasserted themselves.
What Drove the Recent 30-Day Decline
The most significant catalyst over the last 30 days was AlTi’s third-quarter 2026 earnings report, released in early November. While adjusted EBITDA improved and operating expenses declined 25% year over year, several items pressured the stock. Management disclosed that a further noncash unrealized loss of approximately $20 million to $23 million is expected in the fourth quarter related to the value of its stake in European equities manager Zebedee.
The company also reported about $250 million in net wealth-management outflows during the quarter and total revenue growth of just 1% year over year. Persistent net losses and negative free cash flow continued to weigh on valuation, and the firm’s previously disclosed material weakness in internal controls over financial reporting remains an overhang. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
Broader sentiment toward small-cap wealth and asset managers has also been subdued, and ALTI shares have faced ongoing selling pressure as the market re-priced the company’s path to sustained profitability. The combination of disappointing guidance, outflows, and profitability concerns drove the sharp post-earnings selloff.
What Shaped Performance Over the Past Quarter
Over the last three months, ALTI’s performance has been defined by the unwind of acquisition-driven speculation. In August, reports that Franklin Resources (BEN) was in talks to acquire AlTi sent shares sharply higher. As no transaction was confirmed, those gains faded, and the stock resumed its longer-term downtrend.
The broader narrative has centered on AlTi’s transition following the discontinuation of its international real estate segment, ongoing cost-reduction efforts, and the challenge of converting a large recurring fee base into consistent profitability. Strategic partnerships, a new $85 million credit agreement, and disciplined expense management have provided support, but they have not yet offset investor concerns about losses, outflows, and the valuation of external manager stakes.
Factors to Watch for ALTI Going Forward
Looking ahead, several factors are likely to shape ALTI’s share price. The fourth-quarter result and the actual size of the Zebedee-related noncash loss will be closely watched, as will any change in wealth-management net flows and the pace of expense reduction. Investors will also monitor progress toward sustained positive free cash flow and the remediation of the internal-controls material weakness.
Macroeconomic conditions, including interest rates and market volatility, influence client assets and fee revenue. Competitive pressures in the ultra-high-net-worth segment, the integration of prior acquisitions, and the outcome of any strategic or M&A developments remain key variables. Forward-looking outcomes will depend on execution across these areas.
Exploring Tickeron’s AI Tools in My Research
In my own analysis, I’ve found Tickeron’s AI Trading Bots helpful for testing different approaches on names like ALTI without building everything from scratch. The platform offers a range of strategies that can be reviewed quickly, and I often cross-check signals against my own views on fundamentals and flows. It’s become a regular part of how I screen ideas before digging deeper into filings or peer comparisons.
Disclaimer
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ALTI's RSI Oscillator entering oversold zone
The RSI Oscillator for ALTI moved into overbought territory on November 11, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +9.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALTI advanced for three days, in 156 of 219 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
ALTI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ALTI as a result. In 80 of 124 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ALTI turned negative on November 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 55 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 75%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALTI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
The Aroon Indicator for ALTI entered a downward trend on October 26, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 61 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.062) is normal, around the industry mean (2.412). P/E Ratio (-1.625) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-2.386). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.319). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.270) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.202) is also within normal values, averaging (15.694).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ALTI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALTI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
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