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AMBA stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Ambarella Inc is a developer of low-power system-on-a-chip, or SoC, semiconductors and software for edge and physical artificial intelligence (AI) applications and intelligent automation... Show more

Industry: #Semiconductors
AMBA
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Why Is Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) Stock Down -20.93% Today?

Key Takeaways

  • Ambarella shares fell sharply, declining approximately 20.93% intraday from the prior session close of $91.84 to a latest available price of $72.615.
  • The primary catalyst was the company’s first-quarter fiscal 2027 earnings report released after market close on May 28, which included revenue growth but highlighted ongoing GAAP net losses and conservative forward outlook.
  • Secondary factors included mixed investor reaction to a new long-term partnership announcement valued at over $800 million in potential revenue.
  • The semiconductor sector faced broader pressure amid economic uncertainty and selective rotation out of high-valuation AI-related names.
  • Traders are now monitoring upcoming analyst commentary, any revised guidance details, and how the stock trades around key technical support levels in the coming sessions.

Opening Summary

Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) develops low-power system-on-a-chip semiconductors and software solutions focused on edge and physical artificial intelligence applications. The stock dropped sharply in today’s trading session, falling roughly 20.93% from the previous close of $91.84 to a latest available price near $72.615. The decline followed the company’s release of first-quarter fiscal 2027 results after the prior session’s close, with markets citing concerns over profitability metrics and forward-looking commentary despite reported revenue growth.

Earnings Results and Guidance

Ambarella reported first-quarter fiscal 2027 revenue of $100.4 million, representing a 16.9% year-over-year increase. While the topline figure showed continued expansion in edge AI and related segments, the company continued to post GAAP net losses. Investors appeared focused on the sustainability of margins and the company’s updated outlook, which incorporated a wide range reflecting ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties. Such patterns have frequently triggered post-earnings volatility in the semiconductor space when growth expectations remain elevated.

Partnership Announcement Reaction

Alongside the earnings release, Ambarella highlighted a new decade-long strategic partnership expected to generate in excess of $800 million in potential revenue. While the announcement underscored demand for the company’s edge AI platform, the market reaction suggested investors prioritized near-term profitability concerns over longer-term contract potential. Large multi-year deals in the semiconductor industry often require time to translate into recognized revenue, contributing to initial share-price pressure.

Market Context and Trading Activity

Volume surged well above recent averages as the stock traded lower, indicating broad participation in the selloff. The move occurred against a backdrop of mixed performance in broader technology indices, with selective weakness in names tied to edge AI and automotive vision applications. Technical levels, including recent support near the $85–$90 area, were decisively broken, accelerating downside momentum during the session.

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What Comes Next for AMBA

Investors will focus on any follow-up analyst reports following the earnings release and the company’s scheduled participation in upcoming industry conferences. Key areas of attention include updates on edge AI adoption trends, automotive and IoT segment momentum, and the pace of conversion from announced partnerships into revenue. Risks remain elevated given the company’s history of GAAP losses, exposure to cyclical semiconductor demand, and sensitivity to broader economic conditions. No specific price targets or forecasts are implied.

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for AMBA with price predictions
Jun 12, 2026

AMBA in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on June 09, 2026

AMBA moved below its 50-day moving average on June 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 30 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AMBA moved out of overbought territory on May 29, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMBA as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMBA turned negative on May 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMBA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AMBA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMBA advanced for three days, in of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 226 cases where AMBA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AMBA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.909) is normal, around the industry mean (11.762). AMBA has a moderately low P/E Ratio (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (108.332). AMBA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (2.057). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.005) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.199) is also within normal values, averaging (185.036).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMBA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 46, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), KLA Corporation (NASDAQ:KLAC), Teradyne (NASDAQ:TER), Ambarella (NASDAQ:AMBA).

Industry description

The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Electronic Production Equipment Industry is 74.43B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 555.66K to 727.02B. ASML holds the highest valuation in this group at 727.02B. The lowest valued company is AVSR at 555.66K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Electronic Production Equipment Industry was 17%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was 135%. ICHR experienced the highest price growth at 38%, while SMTK experienced the biggest fall at -13%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Electronic Production Equipment Industry was -77%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 6% and the average quarterly volume growth was 22%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 64
P/E Growth Rating: 29
Price Growth Rating: 34
SMR Rating: 75
Profit Risk Rating: 45
Seasonality Score: 11 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of video compression and image processing semiconductors

Industry ElectronicProductionEquipment

Profile
Details
Industry
Semiconductors
Address
3001 Tasman Drive
Phone
+1 408 734-8888
Employees
959
Web
https://www.ambarella.com
Why Is Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) Stock Down -20.93% Today?