AMBC Ambac Financial Group Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

AMBC in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on May 13, 2025

AMBC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 45 cases where AMBC's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AMBC's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMBC just turned positive on May 16, 2025. Looking at past instances where AMBC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AMBC moved above its 50-day moving average on May 27, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AMBC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 29, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +2 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMBC advanced for three days, in of 289 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 182 cases where AMBC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 58 cases where AMBC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 30, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMBC as a result. In of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMBC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.514) is normal, around the industry mean (1.881). AMBC has a moderately high P/E Ratio (86.056) as compared to the industry average of (30.402). AMBC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.179). AMBC's Dividend Yield (0.000) is considerably lower than the industry average of (0.021). P/S Ratio (2.710) is also within normal values, averaging (4.516).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AMBC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMBC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 49, placing this stock worse than average.