Aon is a leading global provider of insurance and reinsurance brokerage and human resources solutions... Show more
Aon plc is a global professional services firm that provides risk, reinsurance, health, and wealth solutions. Its business is organized around two segments—Risk Capital, which includes Commercial Risk Solutions and Reinsurance Solutions, and Human Capital, which includes Health Solutions and Wealth Solutions—supported by the firm's Aon Business Services platform for data, analytics, and technology. As one of the world's largest insurance and reinsurance brokers, Aon competes with major global peers and is closely followed by investors for its diversified revenue mix, high client-retention rates, and steady cash-flow generation. The company's "Aon United" operating model and its growing investment in data analytics and artificial intelligence are central to its competitive positioning and long-term growth strategy.
Over the last 30 days, Aon shares climbed approximately 22.4%, recovering from $273.47 at the close on October 9, 2026, to $334.81 on November 6, 2026. The gain was concentrated in the final weeks of October, after the company reported better-than-expected third-quarter results and provided an upbeat outlook around the pending USI transaction.
The broader quarterly picture is more mixed. Aon traded near $357–$360 in early August before a sustained decline dragged the stock to a trough near $269–$270 in early October. The sharp late-October and early-November rebound has not fully recovered those losses; as of early November, the stock remained down roughly 6%–7% from its early-August levels. This pattern—a steep mid-quarter selloff followed by a strong recovery—defines Aon's recent trading behavior.
The primary catalyst was Aon's third-quarter 2026 earnings release on October 28, 2026. The company reported adjusted EPS of $3.36, a 10% year-over-year increase and ahead of the $3.30 consensus estimate, on total revenue of about $4.1 billion, up 3% and slightly above expectations. Organic revenue growth reached 6%, with 7% growth in both Commercial Risk and Reinsurance Solutions, while adjusted operating margin widened 70 basis points to 27%. Shares rose about 5% on the day of the report.
The earnings beat landed against a backdrop of depressed expectations. Several analysts had trimmed price targets before the release, and the stock was down roughly 13.7% year to date. Management's commentary also supported sentiment, highlighting a $10 billion data-center insurance facility, a $2.5 billion energy facility, and growing demand for risk-transfer solutions tied to AI infrastructure. The company's expectation to complete its USI acquisition in the fourth quarter of 2026, with roughly $395 million in identified run-rate synergies, provided an additional catalyst for the move.
Aon's quarterly performance reflected two distinct phases. From early August through early October, the stock declined from the mid-$350s to the low-$270s amid broader market volatility, a softer insurance pricing environment, and investor concerns tied to the financing and integration risks of the USI acquisition. Pre-earnings analyst actions, including price-target reductions, contributed to the cautious tone.
The subsequent recovery was driven by fundamental results that demonstrated resilience despite those pressures. Broad-based organic growth, continued margin expansion, and double-digit adjusted EPS growth reassured investors that Aon's diversified platform could grow through a challenging pricing cycle. The announced USI synergies and expanding AI-related demand added to the turnaround narrative, though the shares have not yet returned to their early-August highs.
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Several factors are likely to shape Aon's stock over the coming months. The completion and integration of the USI acquisition, expected in the fourth quarter of 2026, will be closely watched, including progress toward the company's leverage target of 2.8x to 3.0x and the timing of any return to share repurchases. Investors will also monitor organic revenue growth, client retention, and margin expansion across Commercial Risk, Reinsurance, Health, and Wealth Solutions. The trajectory of insurance and reinsurance pricing, interest rates, and fiduciary investment income remain key macro influences. Finally, demand tied to AI infrastructure, data centers, and alternative capital solutions could continue to influence sentiment, alongside any changes to the company's full-year 2026 guidance.
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AON moved above its 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 30 of 47 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AON as a result. In 47 of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
The 10-day moving average for AON crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
Following a +0.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AON advanced for three days, in 148 of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 122 of 276 cases where AON Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 44%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AON moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 57%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 33 of 62 cases where AON's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AON declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.
AON broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AON’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AON’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 91 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.400) is normal, around the industry mean (2.681). P/E Ratio (18.376) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.012). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.134) is also within normal values, averaging (8.322). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.687) is also within normal values, averaging (2.968).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of insurance brokerage, risk management and human capital consulting services
Industry InsuranceBrokersServices