Global professional services firm Aon plc (NYSE: AON) is one of the world's largest insurance brokers and a leading provider of risk, retirement, and health consulting. The question on many investors' minds is whether the stock can climb toward a $410 price target, a level roughly in line with the arithmetic mean of the analyst price targets reviewed here.
This analysis draws on nine attributable, current price targets from major firms, rather than a single headline consensus figure. The range runs from Piper Sandler's $370 (Nov. 3, 2025) to Cantor Fitzgerald's $440 (Oct. 9, 2025), producing a calculated mean of about $410.56, rounded to $410. Independent aggregators point to a similar picture, with an average one-year target near $410 and a full range of roughly $328 to $473.
Individual calls cluster in the low-to-mid $400s. J.P. Morgan reiterated a Buy with a $433 target in October 2025, Goldman Sachs raised its target to $434 (Oct. 6, 2025), and Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to Overweight with a $430 target. TD Cowen ($416), Citigroup ($402, upgraded to Buy on Nov. 3, 2025), and Roth MKM ($390) sit slightly lower, while BMO Capital maintained a Market Perform rating with a $380 target (Nov. 14, 2025). Mizuho initiated coverage with a Neutral recommendation in December 2025.
These figures reflect analyst expectations rather than a guarantee; the spread between the lowest and highest targets shows genuine disagreement about how quickly Aon's growth and valuation can support further gains.
Shares were recently trading near $320, down from the mid-$350s seen in late 2025. That puts the $410 target roughly 28% above the latest price — a substantial move rather than a modest one. The path would likely depend on sustained organic revenue growth, margin expansion, and continued execution on Aon's strategy of pairing brokerage with data-driven risk and human-capital consulting.
Aon's fundamentals have been firming. For the quarter ended September 30, 2025, the company reported revenue of about $4.0 billion and net income of $470 million, up from $3.72 billion and $343 million a year earlier. Continued mid-single-digit organic growth, disciplined cost management, and share repurchases are central to the bull case underpinning higher targets.
Aon's 52-week high has sat near $409 to $413, meaning the $410 target essentially coincides with the stock's prior peak — a key resistance zone. On the downside, the 52-week low near $323 to $326 has acted as a support level, and the psychologically significant $400 mark lies just below the target. A sustained break above the $400-to-$413 area would be required for the target to come into play, while failure to hold support near the recent lows would raise questions about the near-term trend.
Analyst price targets typically reflect a research horizon of about 12 months, though individual firms may use different assumptions. Investors should watch quarterly earnings and organic revenue growth, guidance updates, analyst target revisions, and Federal Reserve rate decisions, which directly affect the interest-sensitive portion of Aon's income. Competition from Marsh McLennan and other brokers, as well as capital-allocation announcements, are also worth tracking.
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Aon reaching $410 would require a gain of roughly 28% from recent levels near $320 — a substantial move that hinges on continued earnings growth, stable or elevated interest rates, and investor willingness to pay a premium valuation. The central target reflects the average of nine verified analyst price targets ranging from about $370 to $440, a wide spread that underscores real disagreement on the stock's trajectory. Supportive fundamentals and late-2025 analyst upgrades provide a constructive backdrop, but valuation, rate sensitivity, and competition remain meaningful obstacles. Investors should monitor earnings, guidance, and rate policy rather than treating the $410 figure as a certainty.
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AON has been closely correlated with MRSH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AON jumps, then MRSH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AON | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AON | 100% | +0.23% | ||
| MRSH - AON | 77% Closely correlated | +0.79% | ||
| AJG - AON | 75% Closely correlated | +1.78% | ||
| BRO - AON | 72% Closely correlated | +1.17% | ||
| WTW - AON | 68% Closely correlated | +0.01% | ||
| RYAN - AON | 59% Loosely correlated | +0.40% | ||
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