AOSL Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

AOSL in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on September 07, 2023

AOSL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 36 cases where AOSL's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 60 cases where AOSL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 22, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AOSL as a result. In of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AOSL advanced for three days, in of 286 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AOSL turned negative on September 07, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

AOSL moved below its 50-day moving average on August 17, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AOSL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 24, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AOSL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for AOSL entered a downward trend on September 21, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AOSL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.894) is normal, around the industry mean (7.929). P/E Ratio (68.027) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.587). AOSL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.336). AOSL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (1.221) is also within normal values, averaging (72.527).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.