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ARI
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
Apr 24, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Price
$9.08
Change
-$0.01 (-0.11%)
Capitalization
1.58B

ARI Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc is a real estate investment trust that primarily originates, invests in, acquires, and manages commercial first-mortgage loans, subordinate financings, commercial mortgage-backed securities, and other real estate-related debt investments... Show more

ARI
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for ARI with price predictions
Apr 23, 2025

ARI in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on April 03, 2025

ARI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 40 cases where ARI's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ARI's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 22, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ARI as a result. In of 98 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ARI just turned positive on April 23, 2025. Looking at past instances where ARI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARI advanced for three days, in of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

ARI moved below its 50-day moving average on April 03, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ARI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 04, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for ARI entered a downward trend on April 21, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ARI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.704) is normal, around the industry mean (1.987). P/E Ratio (37.724) is within average values for comparable stocks, (62.654). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.328) is also within normal values, averaging (7.058). ARI has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.128) as compared to the industry average of (0.070). P/S Ratio (5.811) is also within normal values, averaging (7.141).

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ARI
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

ARI is expected to report earnings to fall 30.25% to 22 cents per share on April 24

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance ARI Stock Earnings Reports
Q1'25
Est.
$0.22
Q4'24
Beat
by $0.09
Q3'24
Missed
by $0.80
Q2'24
Beat
by $0.05
Q1'24
Beat
by $0.03
The last earnings report on February 10 showed earnings per share of 31 cents, beating the estimate of 23 cents. With 2.19M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 1.58B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

ARI paid dividends on April 15, 2025

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance ARI Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.25 per share was paid with a record date of April 15, 2025, and an ex-dividend date of March 31, 2025. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a real estate investment trust

Industry RealEstateInvestmentTrusts

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Address
c/o Apollo Global Management, Inc
Phone
+1 212 515-3200
Employees
N/A
Web
https://www.apollocref.com
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ARI and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARI has been closely correlated with STWD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARI jumps, then STWD could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ARI
1D Price
Change %
ARI100%
+5.33%
STWD - ARI
71%
Closely correlated
+0.21%
LADR - ARI
67%
Closely correlated
+0.49%
BXMT - ARI
66%
Closely correlated
+0.21%
FBRT - ARI
64%
Loosely correlated
-0.52%
NLY - ARI
64%
Loosely correlated
+1.74%
More

Groups containing ARI

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ARI
1D Price
Change %
ARI100%
+5.33%
ARI
(4 stocks)
83%
Closely correlated
-0.16%