ARX Accelerant Holdings Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Accelerant Holdings operates as a data-driven risk exchange that connects selected specialty insurance underwriters with risk capital partners... Show more
ARX is expected to report earnings to 17 cents per share on August 27
Q2'26
Est.
$0.17
Q1'26
Beat
by $0.03
Q4'25
Beat
by $0.08
The last earnings report on May 13 showed earnings per share of 17 cents, beating the estimate of 14 cents. With 1.19M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 2.84B.
ARX saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on June 02, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 3 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 3 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ARX as a result. In of 8 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
ARX moved below its 50-day moving average on June 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
ARX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARX advanced for three days, in of 36 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ARX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.105) is normal, around the industry mean (6.255). ARX has a moderately high P/E Ratio (68.176) as compared to the industry average of (27.443). ARX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.631). ARX's Dividend Yield (0.000) is considerably lower than the industry average of (0.015). P/S Ratio (2.935) is also within normal values, averaging (2.812).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ARX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.
