ARX Accelerant Holdings Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Accelerant Holdings operates as a data-driven risk exchange that connects selected specialty insurance underwriters with risk capital partners... Show more
ARX is expected to report earnings to fall 53.12% to 15 cents per share on November 12
Q3'26
Est.
$0.15
Q2'26
Beat
by $0.15
Q1'26
Beat
by $0.03
Q4'25
Beat
by $0.08
The last earnings report on August 13 showed earnings per share of 31 cents, beating the estimate of 17 cents. With 5.40M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 4.25B.
A.I.dvisor tells us that ARX and AON have been poorly correlated (+32% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that ARX and AON's prices will move in lockstep.
ARX in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on August 14, 2026
The 10-day moving average for ARX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 2 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ARX as a result. In of 12 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ARX just turned positive on August 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where ARX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 5 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
ARX moved above its 50-day moving average on August 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 50-day moving average for ARX moved above the 200-day moving average on August 19, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARX advanced for three days, in of 47 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 38 cases where ARX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
ARX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ARX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.931) is normal, around the industry mean (6.826). P/E Ratio (68.176) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.499). ARX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.750). ARX's Dividend Yield (0.000) is considerably lower than the industry average of (0.013). P/S Ratio (3.719) is also within normal values, averaging (3.443).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ARX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
