ARX Accelerant Holdings Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Accelerant Holdings operates as a data-driven risk exchange that connects selected specialty insurance underwriters with risk capital partners... Show more
ARX is expected to report earnings to 17 cents per share on August 13
Q2'26
Est.
$0.17
Q1'26
Beat
by $0.03
Q4'25
Beat
by $0.08
The last earnings report on May 13 showed earnings per share of 17 cents, beating the estimate of 14 cents. With 4.94M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 2.44B.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARX has been loosely correlated with AON. These tickers have moved in lockstep 36% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ARX jumps, then AON could also see price increases.
ARX's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for ARX moved out of oversold territory on July 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 5 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 5 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARX advanced for three days, in of 45 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
ARX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 38 cases where ARX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 8 cases where ARX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ARX as a result. In of 11 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ARX turned negative on July 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 4 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 4 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
ARX moved below its 50-day moving average on July 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ARX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.529) is normal, around the industry mean (6.367). P/E Ratio (68.176) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.305). ARX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.766). ARX's Dividend Yield (0.000) is considerably lower than the industry average of (0.014). P/S Ratio (2.523) is also within normal values, averaging (3.168).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ARX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
