ASTL Algoma Steel Group Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

ASTL in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on September 25, 2026

ASTL moved above its 50-day moving average on September 25, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 38 of 47 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 46 of 59 cases where ASTL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 25, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ASTL as a result. In 70 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

Following a +4.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ASTL advanced for three days, in 212 of 271 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 111 of 166 cases where ASTL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ASTL turned negative on September 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 83%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ASTL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

ASTL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 20 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.154) is normal, around the industry mean (2.291). P/E Ratio (17.801) is within average values for comparable stocks, (92.919). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (0.339). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.015) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.423) is also within normal values, averaging (2.301).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ASTL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ASTL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock worse than average.