AZO stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Founded in 1979, AutoZone is the largest US-based retailer of aftermarket automotive parts and accessories, operating over 7,600 stores and generating roughly $18... Show more
Why AutoZone (AZO) Stock Is Up +10.7% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- AutoZone (AZO) shares climbed roughly 10.7% over the trailing 30 days, from a close of $2,855.31 on September 18, 2026, to about $3,161 in mid-October.
- The advance was heavily back-end loaded, with a 5.1% single-session gain on October 15 and follow-through in the sessions that followed.
- A stronger-than-expected September U.S. retail sales report and a broad rotation into auto-parts retailers helped fuel the rebound.
- The rally followed fiscal Q4 2026 results showing EPS up 15.1% year over year and revenue up 5.6%, even as domestic do-it-yourself (DIY) comparable sales remained negative.
- Over the trailing quarter, AZO is up about 5.6%, having recovered from a 52-week low of $2,730.65 set in early October.
AutoZone (AZO) Company Overview and Market Position
AutoZone, Inc. is one of the largest retailers and distributors of automotive replacement parts and accessories in the United States, with additional operations in Mexico and Brazil. The company serves both DIY customers and professional repair shops through its "do-it-for-me" commercial business, anchored by its Duralast private-label brand and an expanding network of hub and mega-hub distribution centers. AutoZone crossed the 8,000-store milestone globally in August 2026 and opened a record 374 stores during its 2026 fiscal year. Because automotive repair is largely non-discretionary, investors typically view AutoZone as a relatively defensive consumer name, while watching its buyback-driven capital-return strategy, comparable-sales trends, and commercial-segment momentum.
AutoZone (AZO) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, AZO advanced from $2,855.31 at the September 18, 2026 close to roughly $3,161, a gain of about 10.7%. The path was uneven: shares remained under pressure through late September and early October, bottoming at a 52-week low of $2,730.65 on October 5, before a sharp multi-session rally in mid-October carried the stock decisively higher.
The quarterly picture is more moderate. Compared with a closing level of about $2,994 in mid-July, AZO is up roughly 5.6% over the trailing three months. That net gain masks meaningful volatility, as the stock slid from above $3,200 in early July into its early-October trough before recovering. In the context of a longer decline, AZO remains below its 52-week high near $4,040 set in October 2025 and is still down on a year-over-year basis.
What Drove AZO Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
Several verified factors shaped AZO's recent move. On September 22, 2026, AutoZone reported fiscal fourth-quarter results, posting EPS of $56.05, up 15.1% year over year, on revenue of $6.59 billion, up 5.6%. Net income rose 11.3% to $931.6 million. The earnings beat was aided by a $96 million IEEPA tariff refund (about $4.43 per share) and a lighter LIFO charge, while domestic DIY comparable sales declined 0.6% and commercial comparable sales grew 8.6%.
Analyst activity was mixed but net constructive. Bernstein reiterated a Buy rating with a $3,698 price target on October 14, and several firms—including Evercore ISI, Jefferies, Citigroup, BMO Capital, and Bank of America—maintained bullish ratings. Offsetting this, Morgan Stanley downgraded the stock to Market Perform on September 29, and Robert W. Baird kept a Hold rating. Separately, the company announced on October 6 that director Claire R. McDonough would not stand for reelection.
The sharpest catalyst arrived on October 15, when September U.S. retail sales rose 0.8% versus a 0.3% consensus, and sales excluding autos climbed 0.9% against 0.5% expected. The data triggered a sector-wide bid across auto-parts retailers, with peers such as O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY), Genuine Parts (GPC), and Advance Auto Parts (AAP) also advancing, reinforcing sentiment that resilient consumer demand supports repair-related spending.
What Drove AZO Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The broader multi-month narrative is one of a stock still recovering from a prolonged pullback. Over the past year, AZO has been pressured by softness in domestic DIY demand, where higher prices lifted average ticket but weighed on traffic, and by inflation that has squeezed customer transactions. At the same time, the company's commercial business has been a consistent bright spot, growing nearly 11% for the 2026 fiscal year, supported by improved hub and mega-hub coverage and the Duralast brand. Management noted that sales momentum improved as the fiscal quarter progressed, with August comparable sales accelerating. The early-October low reflected lingering caution around DIY traffic and downward estimate revisions, while the mid-October recovery coincided with firmer consumer data and renewed analyst support.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page highlights a curated selection of the platform's top-performing and most relevant AI trading bots. While Tickeron offers hundreds of automated bots that trade thousands of tickers, only those demonstrating standout performance and current market relevance appear in this section. The bots vary widely in strategy, holding timeframe, and performance metrics, giving traders an opportunity to review approaches that range from short-term momentum signals to longer-horizon trend models. For investors monitoring names like AZO, the page provides a practical way to explore how AI-driven strategies are positioning across the market. Explore the Trending AI Robots to see which strategies are currently leading.
AZO Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Looking ahead, several factors are likely to influence AZO. The company's fiscal Q1 2027 results are expected around early-to-mid December 2026, and management has guided for same-store sales to be roughly flat with average ticket holding near the 5% growth seen in the fourth quarter. Investors should monitor DIY traffic trends, the pace of commercial-segment growth, continued hub and mega-hub expansion, and progress in Mexico and Brazil, where the company recently surpassed 1,000 stores in Mexico. Macroeconomic variables such as consumer spending on auto repair, inflation, and any tariff or trade-policy developments also remain relevant. Finally, watch analyst estimate revisions and the pace of share buybacks, which have been a core component of AutoZone's capital-return strategy.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Momentum Indicator for AZO turns positive, indicating new upward trend
AZO saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 78 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 54 of the 78 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AZO just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where AZO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 22 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 49%.
AZO moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AZO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
Following a +3.70% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AZO advanced for three days, in 189 of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 106 of 241 cases where AZO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 44%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AZO moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 63%.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AZO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
AZO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: AZO's P/B Ratio (-18.398) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (0.768). P/E Ratio (22.196) is within average values for comparable stocks, (40.498). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.318) is also within normal values, averaging (1.494). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.426) is also within normal values, averaging (49.456).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AZO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Advertisement
General Information
a distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories
Industry AutoPartsOEM