BAR GraniteShares Gold Trust Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

BAR in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on August 14, 2025

BAR moved below its 50-day moving average on August 14, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 41 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 15, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BAR as a result. In of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BAR turned negative on August 14, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BAR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The 10-day moving average for BAR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 11, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BAR advanced for three days, in of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BAR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 285 cases where BAR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .