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BOOT
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
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Capitalization
2.47B

BOOT Boot Barn Holdings Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

a retailer of western footwear and apparels

Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for BOOT with price predictions
08:00 PM EDT Oct 02, 2023

BOOT's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for BOOT entered a downward trend on October 03, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 190 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 190 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 05, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BOOT as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BOOT moved below its 50-day moving average on September 05, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BOOT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 05, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BOOT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BOOT's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 16 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 60 cases where BOOT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BOOT advanced for three days, in of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BOOT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BOOT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.031) is normal, around the industry mean (3.705). P/E Ratio (15.060) is within average values for comparable stocks, (96.575). BOOT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.294). BOOT has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.033). P/S Ratio (1.491) is also within normal values, averaging (1.936).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap (The) (NYSE:GPS), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Foot Locker (NYSE:FL), Guess (NYSE:GES), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 11.24B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 119.4B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 119.4B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. CHS experienced the highest price growth at 63%, while ENMHF experienced the biggest fall at -27%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 4%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 5% and the average quarterly volume growth was 38%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 44
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 59
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: 35 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
Show details...
A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

BOOT is expected to report earnings to fall 22.02% to 88 cents per share on November 01

Boot Barn Holdings BOOT Stock Earnings Reports
Q3'23
Est.
$0.88
Q2'23
Beat
by $0.29
Q1'23
Beat
by $0.05
Q4'22
Est.
$1.74
Q3'22
Beat
by $0.13
The last earnings report on August 02 showed earnings per share of $1.13, beating the estimate of 83 cents. With 385.20K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 2.47B.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a retailer of western footwear and apparels

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
15345 Barranca Parkway
Phone
+1 949 453-4400
Employees
8800
Web
https://www.bootbarn.com
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BOOT and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BOOT has been loosely correlated with DXLG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BOOT jumps, then DXLG could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To BOOT
1D Price
Change %
BOOT100%
-2.46%
DXLG - BOOT
55%
Loosely correlated
-1.99%
HIBB - BOOT
54%
Loosely correlated
-1.96%
DBI - BOOT
50%
Loosely correlated
-1.25%
TLYS - BOOT
50%
Loosely correlated
-2.35%
CRI - BOOT
49%
Loosely correlated
-2.67%
More

Groups containing BOOT

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To BOOT
1D Price
Change %
BOOT100%
-2.46%
malls
(undefined stocks)
77%
Closely correlated
-0.08%
apparel
(undefined stocks)
63%
Loosely correlated
-0.17%
footwear
(undefined stocks)
63%
Loosely correlated
-0.13%
accessories
(undefined stocks)
63%
Loosely correlated
-0.23%
clothing
(undefined stocks)
63%
Loosely correlated
-0.15%
More