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BOOT vs BURL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT) vs. Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT) delivered record fiscal 2026 results with strong same-store sales growth and expanded its store network to 539 locations, while Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) maintains a larger scale in the off-price retail segment.
- Over recent weeks, BOOT shares have shown resilience following earnings, trading near $154–155, compared to BURL shares near $324 with notable intraday volatility.
- Both companies operate in the apparel and footwear retail space but target distinct customer bases: BOOT focuses on western and workwear, while BURL emphasizes value-driven off-price apparel.
- Recent market activity highlights BOOT’s earnings beat and store expansion momentum versus BURL’s upcoming quarterly update scheduled for late May 2026.
- Sector exposure for both remains tied to consumer discretionary spending, with BOOT demonstrating higher historical volatility and BURL showing steadier year-to-date gains in broader market comparisons.
Introduction
Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT) and Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) represent two distinct approaches within the U.S. retail sector, offering investors a comparison of specialized western/workwear retail versus broad off-price apparel. This analysis examines their business models, recent stock behavior, and relative positioning in the current market environment. Traders and investors focused on consumer discretionary stocks, retail sector rotation, or relative performance between growth-oriented and value-driven retailers may find this comparison relevant for portfolio allocation decisions.
BOOT Overview and Recent Performance
Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. operates as a specialty retailer of western and work-related footwear, apparel, and accessories through a network of physical stores and e-commerce platforms. In recent market activity, the company reported record fiscal 2026 results, including net sales growth of approximately 18% for the full year and same-store sales increases of 7.2%, supported by the opening of 80 new stores. Following its fourth-quarter earnings release in mid-May 2026, shares of BOOT experienced initial positive reaction before moderating, with prices stabilizing near $154–155 amid broader sector dynamics. Sentiment has been influenced by expansion initiatives and merchandise margin trends, though the stock has traded below its 52-week high amid general market fluctuations.
BURL Overview and Recent Performance
Burlington Stores, Inc. is an off-price retailer offering a wide assortment of apparel, footwear, and home goods at discounted prices across hundreds of locations. In recent market activity, shares have shown upward momentum with notable daily gains, trading near $324 as of late May 2026. The company’s performance has been shaped by ongoing inventory management and consumer value-seeking behavior in the off-price segment. Attention has centered on the upcoming first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings release scheduled for May 28, 2026, with prior periods reflecting steady sales growth and operational leverage. Market sentiment remains tied to broader retail spending patterns and the company’s ability to sustain competitive positioning.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT) and Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) differ in scale and focus: BOOT maintains a specialized niche with aggressive store growth, while BURL operates a larger off-price model with broader merchandise appeal. Growth drivers for BOOT center on new store openings and e-commerce acceleration, contrasting with BURL’s emphasis on inventory turnover and value pricing. Recent momentum favors BURL in short-term price action, though BOOT benefits from explicit earnings beats and guidance. Risk factors include consumer spending sensitivity for both, with BOOT exhibiting higher beta historically and BURL facing competition in the off-price space. Sector exposure overlaps in apparel retail, yet market sentiment has rewarded BOOT’s expansion narrative and BURL’s operational consistency.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent earnings consistency, store expansion catalysts, and relative trend stability following mid-May updates, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a probabilistic edge to BOOT for near-term positioning within this pair, though outcomes remain contingent on broader market conditions and upcoming data from both companies.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BOOT is a Buy and BURL is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BOOT’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileBURL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- BOOT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- BURL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BOOT’s TA Score shows that 8 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BURL’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BOOT’s TA Score: 8 bullish, 2 bearish.
- BURL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BOOT (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) experienced а +7.58% price change this week, while BURL (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) price change was +1.09% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Apparel/Footwear Retail industry was +0.11%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.48%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
BOOT is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
BURL is expected to report earnings on Aug 20, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Apparel/Footwear Retail (+0.11% weekly)Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.
| BOOT | BURL | BOOT / BURL | |
| Capitalization | 5.42B | 21.4B | 25% |
| EBITDA | 381M | 1.33B | 29% |
| Gain YTD | 1.128 | 17.802 | 6% |
| P/E Ratio | 24.28 | 35.01 | 69% |
| Revenue | 2.25B | 11.9B | 19% |
| Total Cash | 141M | 747M | 19% |
| Total Debt | 773M | 5.87B | 13% |
BOOT | BURL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 85 | 73 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 60 Fair valued | 82 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 41 | 93 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 48 | 24 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 30 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 35 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BOOT's Valuation (60) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (82). This means that BOOT’s stock grew similarly to BURL’s over the last 12 months.
BOOT's Profit vs Risk Rating (41) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BURL (93). This means that BOOT’s stock grew somewhat faster than BURL’s over the last 12 months.
BURL's SMR Rating (24) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BOOT (48). This means that BURL’s stock grew similarly to BOOT’s over the last 12 months.
BURL's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BOOT (46). This means that BURL’s stock grew similarly to BOOT’s over the last 12 months.
BURL's P/E Growth Rating (30) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BOOT (60). This means that BURL’s stock grew similarly to BOOT’s over the last 12 months.
| BOOT | BURL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 73% | 8 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 68% |
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BOOT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BOOT has been loosely correlated with SHOE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BOOT jumps, then SHOE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BOOT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOOT | 100% | +2.43% | ||
| SHOE - BOOT | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.31% | ||
| BKE - BOOT | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.77% | ||
| DBI - BOOT | 50% Loosely correlated | -3.32% | ||
| CAL - BOOT | 49% Loosely correlated | -3.58% | ||
| GAP - BOOT | 44% Loosely correlated | -2.51% | ||
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