BULL stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Webull Corp is a digital investment platform built upon a next-generation globally infrastructure services... Show more
Why Webull (BULL) Stock Is Down 38% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- Webull (BULL) shares have declined roughly 38% over the past 30 days, sliding from about $9.74 to around $6.00.
- The sharpest leg lower came after a bipartisan House panel raised national-security concerns about Webull's ties to China, triggering a double-digit intraday selloff.
- The drop reverses a late-summer rally that had carried the stock toward the $10 mark following record second-quarter results.
- Solid fundamentals — including record revenue and surging trading activity after the pattern-day-trader rule was removed — have so far failed to outweigh governance and regulatory concerns.
- Analyst sentiment remains broadly constructive, but China-related governance risk has become a key overhang on the stock.
Webull (BULL) Company Overview and Market Position
Webull Corporation is a commission-free digital investment platform that gives retail investors access to U.S.-listed stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), American depositary receipts, options, futures, and fractional shares through its mobile and desktop apps. The company, headquartered in St. Petersburg, Florida, also offers cash-sweep products, robo-advisory services through Webull Advisors, retirement accounts, and portfolio-management tools. Webull completed its initial public offering in April 2025 and competes directly with platforms such as Robinhood (HOOD) in the retail brokerage space.
Investors follow the stock closely because of its rapid user growth, its expansion into artificial-intelligence-powered tools such as the Vega AI assistant, and its push into international markets. The company has positioned itself as a technology-first brokerage aimed at active traders, a strategy that benefited materially from the removal of the U.S. pattern-day-trader (PDT) rule in mid-2026.
Webull (BULL) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, Webull shares have fallen approximately 38%, declining from a closing level of $9.74 on September 4 to roughly $6.00 in recent trading. The move was not a straight line: the stock held near $9 through the first half of September before a steady pullback took it into the low $7 range, and a sharp selloff in early October pushed it toward $6.
The picture is more mixed over the trailing three months. From about $7.18 in early July, the stock rallied strongly through August and briefly touched $10.00 on September 3 before giving back those gains. Measured from early July to early October, the stock is down roughly 16%, but that figure masks a pronounced round-trip — a late-summer advance followed by a reversal that erased the rally.
What Drove BULL Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The most significant catalyst was a report from the bipartisan House Select Committee on China, which concluded that Webull's ties to China's government pose a potential national-security risk to U.S. finance. The findings, reported by CNBC, pointed to structural connections between Webull's ownership architecture, technical workforce, technology infrastructure, and financing and entities in China. The stock fell sharply in response, with intraday declines of roughly 15% to 26% on the day the report surfaced.
Even before that event, the stock had been retreating from its early-September peak. Profit-taking after a strong post-earnings rally, an elevated valuation relative to brokerage peers, and analyst caution about China-related governance contributed to the September slide. Scotiabank initiated coverage with a Sector Perform rating, citing constructive fundamentals but flagging concerns tied to the company's China links. These pressures offset otherwise positive developments, including a strategic partnership with X announced in early October and the expansion of Webull's cloud-based AI trading capabilities.
What Drove BULL Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The broader quarterly narrative was defined by record operating results and accelerating growth that ultimately failed to sustain the share-price rally. For the second quarter of 2026, Webull reported record revenue of $198.8 million, up 51% year over year, along with adjusted operating profit of $62.6 million, up 169%. Customer assets reached $28.5 billion, an increase of 79% year over year, supported by a surge in trading activity following the removal of the PDT rule in June.
The company also made progress on its growth roadmap, completing the acquisition of Thai brokerage Pi Securities, expanding into new international markets, and growing adoption of its Vega AI assistant to roughly 480,000 active users. Despite these milestones, investor enthusiasm faded as concerns about the company's China-related governance structure and a rich earnings multiple weighed on the shares, ultimately reversing the August-to-September advance.
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BULL Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Investors will be watching how Webull responds to the congressional findings and whether the company provides clarity on its corporate structure and data-governance practices, as any escalation in regulatory scrutiny could shape sentiment. The next earnings report, expected in November, will be a key test of whether the company's strong revenue momentum and trading-activity growth continue.
Other factors to monitor include the trajectory of customer asset growth, adoption of AI-powered products, the integration of the Pi Securities acquisition in Thailand, and competition from larger retail brokers. Macroeconomic conditions and any shifts in retail trading activity — including crypto and prediction markets — may also influence results. While average analyst price targets remain above the current share price, governance-related uncertainty and valuation remain central considerations for the stock.
Disclaimer
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BULL's RSI Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for BULL moved out of oversold territory on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 16 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 12 of the 16 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 20 of 43 cases where BULL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BULL as a result. In 23 of 69 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 33%.
Following a +3.31% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BULL advanced for three days, in 67 of 140 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.
BULL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
BULL moved below its 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for BULL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 4 of 6 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BULL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
The Aroon Indicator for BULL entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 56 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.152) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.402). P/E Ratio (9.992) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.914). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.072) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.938) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. BULL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BULL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
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