Blaize Holdings Inc provides transformative artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled edge computing solutions comprised of both its proprietary hardware and software, and third-party hardware solutions... Show more
Blaize Holdings, Inc. (BZAI) provides artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled edge computing solutions, specializing in programmable AI processors and platforms deployable across verticals like smart cities, defense, retail, and enterprise markets. Its core business model revolves around hardware such as the Graph Streaming Processor (GSP) AI accelerator, compute cards, and software tools including Blaize AI Studio—a no-code/low-code environment for deploying AI models without source code expertise. Headquartered in El Dorado Hills, California, and founded in 2010, the company went public via a merger in early 2025.
In the competitive semiconductor and AI software industry, Blaize positions itself at the edge computing niche, emphasizing low-power, high-efficiency AI inference for applications like computer vision and video analytics. Its fundamentals—rapid revenue scaling amid persistent net losses—explain recent stock behavior: investor enthusiasm for AI demand growth offsets concerns over profitability, fueling volatility tied to earnings and partnerships.
Over the last 30 days, BZAI stock rose sharply from a closing price of around $1.06 to $1.82, marking a +72% gain. The movement was volatile and trend-driven, bottoming near $1.00 in early March before surging post-Q4 earnings on March 24, with multi-day gains exceeding 15% on high volume.
For the past quarter, the stock declined -12%, from approximately $2.07 in early January to $1.82. It exhibited range-bound trading with dips to $1.00 and spikes above $2.00, influenced by sector trends and pre-earnings anticipation, amid average daily volume around 5-6 million shares.
The primary catalyst was Blaize's Q4 2025 earnings release on March 24, reporting $23.8 million in revenue—beating estimates by $1.8 million and exceeding guidance—alongside full-year revenue of $38.6 million, up 20x year-over-year. EPS loss narrowed to -$0.03, surpassing expectations. This triggered a post-earnings rally, with shares jumping over 40% in subsequent sessions amid high trading volume exceeding 6 million shares.
Additional boosts came from strategic announcements, including advanced collaboration with Nokia for edge AI solutions showcased at GITEX Asia and an MOU with GSiL for "Physical AI" safety tech in industrial settings. These reinforced market sentiment around expanding commercial deployments in Asia-Pacific and sovereign AI. Analyst reactions post-earnings, though adjusting targets downward slightly to $5.80 on tempered 2026 revenue views, maintained positive coverage, supporting the uptrend in AI stock analysis.
The quarterly -12% decline stemmed from broader AI sector volatility, post-IPO digestion after January 2025 public listing, and macroeconomic pressures like interest rate sensitivity impacting growth stocks. Early January highs near $2.26 reflected merger completion momentum, but shares trended lower amid thin liquidity and pre-earnings uncertainty.
Sustained narratives included revenue acceleration from $1 million in Q1 2025, but ongoing net losses—$206.9 million TTM—dampened sentiment. Institutional behavior showed mixed positioning, while competitive dynamics in edge AI pressured valuation multiples. Cumulative impact favored caution until the earnings catalyst shifted focus to 2026 guidance of $130 million revenue, highlighting industry trends in efficient AI infrastructure.
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Investors should monitor Q1 2026 earnings for progress toward $130 million full-year revenue guidance and adjusted EBITDA loss of -$45 million to -$50 million. Upcoming product launches, like the AI Services platform in Q2, could drive recurring revenue from API-based models. Key partnerships with Nokia and GSiL, plus expansions in Asia-Pacific sovereign AI and defense, warrant tracking for deal closures. Macro factors such as AI infrastructure demand, interest rates affecting growth valuations, and sector competition remain critical. Risks include execution on scaling amid losses, dilution from potential funding, and regulatory shifts in AI/semiconductors.
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Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where BZAI declined for three days, in of 129 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BZAI as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BZAI turned negative on June 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
BZAI moved below its 50-day moving average on June 03, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for BZAI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 9 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BZAI advanced for three days, in of 112 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
BZAI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BZAI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.874) is normal, around the industry mean (25.956). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (74.403). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.906) is also within normal values, averaging (52.626).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BZAI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 96, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows