Capricor Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on the development of transformative cell and exosome-based therapeutics for treating Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD), a rare form of muscular dystrophy which results in muscle degeneration and premature death, and other diseases with high unmet medical needs... Show more
Capricor Therapeutics is a San Diego-based clinical-stage biotechnology company developing cell- and exosome-based therapies for rare diseases. Its lead product candidate, deramiocel (CAP-1002), is an allogeneic cardiosphere-derived cell (CDC) therapy in late-stage development for Duchenne muscular dystrophy, including DMD-associated cardiomyopathy. Deramiocel has received Orphan Drug, Regenerative Medicine Advanced Therapy (RMAT), and Rare Pediatric Disease designations from the U.S. FDA, along with Orphan Drug and Advanced Therapy Medicinal Product designations in Europe. The company is also advancing its proprietary StealthX exosome platform for targeted therapeutic delivery. Investors follow CAPR primarily because its near-term value is tied to a binary regulatory outcome for deramiocel.
Over the last 30 days, CAPR has declined approximately 27%, moving from a close of $9.06 in mid-September to roughly $6.61. The move has been broadly one-directional, with a brief rebound in late September giving way to renewed selling pressure through October.
The last quarter has been far more volatile. Shares traded near $19–$20 in mid-July before collapsing roughly 64% on July 27, 2026, when the FDA released briefing documents ahead of its advisory committee meeting. A further slide followed the July 29 vote, and although the stock staged a partial recovery into late August, it has since given back much of that ground. Over the trailing three-month period, CAPR is down approximately two-thirds from its mid-July levels.
The 30-day decline reflects continued de-risking ahead of a pivotal regulatory decision rather than a single new catalyst. Investors are digesting the fallout from the FDA's Cellular, Tissue, and Gene Therapies Advisory Committee, which in a non-binding 9–3 vote concluded that available evidence did not support deramiocel's efficacy for DMD cardiomyopathy. The agency's briefing documents had raised concerns about changes to the trial's statistical analysis plan and questioned the benefit-risk profile.
On August 24, 2026, the FDA extended the PDUFA target action date to November 22, 2026, after Capricor submitted 24-month open-label extension data from its Phase 3 HOPE-3 trial in support of a refined indication focused on upper-limb function. The regulatory overhang, combined with a securities class action filed in late August and uncertainty surrounding Capricor's lawsuit seeking to rescind its U.S. distribution agreement with NS Pharma, has kept sentiment subdued. With the company generating no product revenue, the shares have drifted lower as the next catalyst approaches.
The quarter's defining event was the July 2026 advisory committee process. Before the market opened on July 27, 2026, the FDA published briefing documents that disputed aspects of Capricor's statistical analysis and effectiveness claims, sending the stock down 64% in a single session. The advisory committee then voted 9–3 against the cardiomyopathy indication, and shares fell further.
Capricor has since sought to reposition deramiocel around upper-limb function, the primary endpoint of the HOPE-3 trial, which the company reported was met with a statistically significant benefit. This strategic pivot led the FDA to accept a major amendment and push the PDUFA date back three months. Broader investor concerns about the NS Pharma distribution dispute and the pending securities litigation have compounded the regulatory uncertainty, keeping the stock under pressure through the quarter.
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The most important near-term catalyst is the FDA's decision on deramiocel, now targeted for November 22, 2026. The outcome of labeling discussions and the refined upper-limb indication will be central to how the stock trades. Investors should also monitor the resolution of Capricor's litigation with NS Pharma, which could determine how deramiocel is commercialized if approved, and any developments in the securities class action. Financially, the company's cash position of roughly $237.9 million and its stated twelve-month runway provide a buffer, but future financing plans and quarterly results remain worth watching. A potential Priority Review Voucher, if approval is secured, could also represent a meaningful non-dilutive source of capital. As with any pre-revenue biotech, the shares remain highly sensitive to regulatory and clinical outcomes.
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The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for CAPR's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
CAPR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CAPR as a result. In 71 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CAPR turned negative on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 81%.
CAPR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CAPR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CAPR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
The Aroon Indicator for CAPR entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CAPR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.388) is normal, around the industry mean (2.988). P/E Ratio (-2.400) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-1.158). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (7.610) is also within normal values, averaging (9.059). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (123.903) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (125.000) is also within normal values, averaging (438.009).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CAPR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Develops innovative products for the treatment of cardiovascular diseases
Industry Biotechnology