CBOE stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Key Takeaways

• Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) shares climbed about 31.9% over the last 30 days, rising from roughly $258 to $340 as of the latest close.
• The advance followed a September pullback and was powered by record derivatives activity, a company-wide strategic realignment, and a late-October analyst upgrade to Top Pick.
• Morgan Stanley raised its CBOE price target to $450 from $358, citing SEC approval of the company's KPI prediction markets.
• Second-quarter results showed adjusted earnings of $3.56 per share, up 45% year over year, on record net revenue of $731.6 million.
• Over the trailing three months, the stock has gained roughly 19% after bottoming near $253 in late September.
• Upcoming catalysts include third-quarter earnings and further updates on prediction-market launches and options volume trends.
• For deeper analysis, explore CBOE's Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast pages.
• Discover curated, top-performing automated strategies on Tickeron's Trending AI Robots.

Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) Company Overview and Market Position

Cboe Global Markets operates one of the world's largest derivatives and securities exchange networks, providing trading, clearing, and market-data solutions across options, equities, futures, and foreign exchange. It is the largest U.S. options exchange and holds the exclusive license to list options on the S&P 500 Index (SPX), while also administering the widely followed VIX volatility index, often called Wall Street's "fear gauge."

The company generates revenue primarily through transaction and clearing fees, access and capacity fees, and market-data subscriptions. Its diversified portfolio includes proprietary index options, multi-listed options, North American and European equities, global FX, futures, and the Data Vantage analytics business. Investors track CBOE closely because its volumes and revenue are highly sensitive to market volatility, retail trading engagement, and structural growth in short-dated options such as zero-days-to-expiry (0DTE) contracts.

Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter

Over the last 30 days, CBOE shares have climbed from a closing level of $258.03 on September 25, 2026, to $340.42 as of the most recent close, a gain of approximately 31.9%. The move accelerated in October, with the stock pushing through $300 and then advancing sharply in the final week of the period.

The three-month picture is similarly positive but more volatile. From a level near $285 in late July, the shares have risen roughly 19%. That gain was not a straight line: after a summer rally tied to record second-quarter results, the stock pulled back through September to a low near $253 before the strong October recovery. The result is an overall uptrend characterized by rising volume-driven momentum rather than a single uninterrupted climb.

What Drove CBOE Stock Price in the Last 30 Days

The 30-day rally was driven by a combination of product momentum, regulatory progress, and analyst sentiment. In late October, Morgan Stanley raised its price target on CBOE to $450 from $358, kept an Overweight rating, and elevated the shares to Top Pick within its coverage. The firm cited SEC approval for Cboe's company-specific KPI prediction markets, which removes a key hurdle to launch and, in the firm's view, unlocks a potentially significant revenue opportunity not yet reflected in consensus estimates.

Broader derivatives momentum also supported the advance. Cboe has reported record options volumes through 2026, with particular strength in S&P 500 index options and 0DTE contracts, alongside growing retail engagement. Management has highlighted rising simple-order counts as evidence of broader individual-investor participation. Capital-return actions reinforced sentiment, including an increased share-repurchase authorization and a higher quarterly dividend.

What Drove CBOE Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter

The quarterly trend reflects Cboe's strong operating results and strategic repositioning. Second-quarter earnings, reported at the end of July, showed adjusted earnings of $3.56 per share, up 45% year over year, on record net revenue of $731.6 million. Options revenue jumped 30% as elevated volatility, driven in part by geopolitical tensions and shifting sentiment around the AI trade, spurred record trading activity. Management raised its full-year organic revenue growth outlook to the mid-to-high-teens range.

Over the same period, Cboe advanced a strategic realignment announced earlier in the year, including a planned reduction of roughly 20% of its workforce and the agreed sale of Cboe Canada and Cboe Australia, as the company refocuses on its core derivatives, data, and cash-and-spot businesses. These measures, combined with record volumes and expansion into event and prediction markets, provided the foundation for the stock's quarterly appreciation.

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CBOE Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next

Investors will next focus on Cboe's third-quarter earnings report, where sustained options volume trends, index-options revenue per contract, and Data Vantage growth will be key metrics. Progress on the launch of KPI and event-based prediction markets, following SEC approval, is another central watch item, given its potential contribution to future revenue. Macroeconomic volatility, geopolitical developments, and shifts in retail trading participation will continue to shape transaction volumes. Meanwhile, execution of the strategic realignment, including cost savings and the divestitures of Cboe Canada and Cboe Australia, and any updates to full-year guidance will be closely scrutinized. Competitive dynamics in exchange-traded derivatives and the evolving regulatory environment for prediction markets and perpetual futures also remain relevant to the company's outlook.

Disclaimer

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