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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Sep 03, 2018

China's Debt Story

According to estimates by Standard Chartered Plc., China’s share in global debt tripled last year from its 2009 levels.

During the global recession of 2009, China’s debt -- corporate, household and government – was 6.1 percent of the global total. In 2017, it was 18 percent, Standard Chartered analysis shows. China now ranks as the third most ‘indebted’ nation in terms of its share in global debt, following the U.S. and the euro area.

Standard Chartered projects China’s debt-to-GDP ratio rising to about 290 percent by the end of 2020, compared to 270 percent as of March 31.

Related Ticker: CBON

CBON's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for CBON entered a downward trend on August 11, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 139 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 139 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 74 cases where CBON's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 15, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CBON as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CBON moved below its 50-day moving average on August 12, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CBON crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 07, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CBON declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CBON's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CBON advanced for three days, in of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CBON may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Industry description

The investment seeks to replicate as closely as possible, before fees and expenses, the price and yield performance of the FTSE Chinese Broad Bond 0-10 Years Diversified Select Index. The fund normally invests at least 80% of its total assets in securities that comprise the fund's benchmark index. The index is calculated by FTSE Russell Ltd. and is entirely comprised of fixed-rate, Renminbi-denominated bonds issued in the People’s Republic of China (“China” or the “PRC”) by Chinese credit, governmental and quasi-governmental (e.g.,policy banks) issuers (“RMB Bonds”) with a maturity of 0-10 years. The fund is non-diversified.
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