CBSH Commerce Bancshares Inc. Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

CBSH's RSI Indicator dives oversold zone

The RSI Oscillator for CBSH moved into overbought territory on September 30, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.53% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CBSH advanced for three days, in 153 of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.

CBSH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CBSH as a result. In 41 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CBSH turned negative on September 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 25 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 60%.

CBSH moved below its 50-day moving average on September 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CBSH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 31, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CBSH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.

The Aroon Indicator for CBSH entered a downward trend on September 28, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CBSH’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 69 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.839) is normal, around the industry mean (1.321). P/E Ratio (13.696) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.015). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.190) is also within normal values, averaging (1.186). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.272) is also within normal values, averaging (3.747).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CBSH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 58, placing this stock worse than average.