+Compare
CBSH
Stock ticker: NASDAQ
AS OF
Loading...
Price
Loading...
Change
Loading...
Capitalization
6.29B

CBSH Commerce Bancshares Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

a regional bank

Industry RegionalBanks
Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
Show details...
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for CBSH with price predictions
07:00 PM EST Nov 30, 2023

CBSH's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CBSH turned positive on November 03, 2023. Looking at past instances where CBSH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 03, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CBSH as a result. In of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CBSH moved above its 50-day moving average on November 14, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CBSH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 16, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CBSH advanced for three days, in of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 215 cases where CBSH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for CBSH moved out of overbought territory on December 01, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CBSH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CBSH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 14, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CBSH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CBSH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CBSH's P/B Ratio (2.436) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.010). P/E Ratio (12.743) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.408). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.055) is also within normal values, averaging (2.348). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.045) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.961) is also within normal values, averaging (2.568).

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Itau Unibanco Holding SA (NYSE:ITUB), US Bancorp (NYSE:USB), PNC Financial Services Group (NYSE:PNC), Banco Bradesco SA (NYSE:BBD), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (NYSE:DB), Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ:HBAN), Regions Financial Corp (NYSE:RF), KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY), Veritex Holdings (NASDAQ:VBTX).

Industry description

Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Regional Banks Industry is 5.5B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 10.73K to 139.25B. HDB holds the highest valuation in this group at 139.25B. The lowest valued company is ACBCQ at 10.73K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Regional Banks Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. SIVBQ experienced the highest price growth at 101%, while FSTF experienced the biggest fall at -72%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Regional Banks Industry was 191%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 23% and the average quarterly volume growth was -6%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 65
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 37
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: 24 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
Show details...
Ad is loading...
A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

CBSH is expected to report earnings to fall 17.11% to 79 cents per share on January 18

Commerce Bancshares CBSH Stock Earnings Reports
Q4'23
Est.
$0.80
Q3'23
Beat
by $0.02
Q2'23
Beat
by $0.08
Q1'23
Beat
by $0.02
Q4'22
Beat
by $0.02
The last earnings report on October 18 showed earnings per share of 95 cents, beating the estimate of 93 cents. With 500.57K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 6.29B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

CBSH is expected to pay dividends on December 18, 2023

Commerce Bancshares CBSH Stock Dividends
A dividend of $0.28 per share will be paid with a record date of December 18, 2023, and an ex-dividend date of December 01, 2023. The last dividend of $0.28 was paid on September 25. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a regional bank

Industry RegionalBanks

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Regional Banks
Address
1000 Walnut
Phone
+1 816 234-2000
Employees
4598
Web
https://www.commercebank.com
Interesting Tickers
1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
1 Day
ETFs / NAMEPrice $Chg $Chg %
IAT38.481.54
+4.17%
iShares US Regional Banks ETF
VAMO26.810.46
+1.75%
Cambria Value and Momentum ETF
MFDX28.320.32
+1.13%
PIMCO RAFI Dyn Multi-Factor Intl Eq ETF
HDAW23.710.22
+0.96%
Xtrackers MSCI All WldexUSHiDivYldEqETF
USHY35.690.29
+0.83%
iShares Broad USD High Yield Corp Bd ETF

CBSH and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CBSH has been closely correlated with FNB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CBSH jumps, then FNB could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To CBSH
1D Price
Change %
CBSH100%
-2.06%
FNB - CBSH
81%
Closely correlated
+4.17%
ASB - CBSH
80%
Closely correlated
+5.64%
FRME - CBSH
80%
Closely correlated
+6.29%
SSB - CBSH
79%
Closely correlated
+6.16%
SNV - CBSH
79%
Closely correlated
+6.89%
More

Groups containing CBSH

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To CBSH
1D Price
Change %
CBSH100%
-2.06%
CBSH
(undefined stocks)
85%
Closely correlated
+5.31%
banks
(undefined stocks)
83%
Closely correlated
+3.47%
regional banks
(undefined stocks)
82%
Closely correlated
+3.96%