CBSH Commerce Bancshares Inc. Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CBSH's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CBSH as a result. In 40 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 49%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CBSH just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where CBSH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 21 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.

Following a +2.33% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CBSH advanced for three days, in 151 of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 75 cases where CBSH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CBSH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.

The Aroon Indicator for CBSH entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CBSH’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 77 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.815) is normal, around the industry mean (1.246). P/E Ratio (13.515) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.217). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.190) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.272) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CBSH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock worse than average.