CBSH Commerce Bancshares Inc. Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CBSH as a result. In 40 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 49%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CBSH just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where CBSH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

CBSH moved above its 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +2.33% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CBSH advanced for three days, in 151 of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 100 of 228 cases where CBSH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 44%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 34 of 73 cases where CBSH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CBSH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.

CBSH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CBSH’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.812) is normal, around the industry mean (1.262). P/E Ratio (13.490) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.480). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.190) is also within normal values, averaging (1.194). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.272) is also within normal values, averaging (3.740).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CBSH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock worse than average.