CHDN Churchill Downs Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CHDN as a result. In 59 of 99 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

CHDN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CHDN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

Following a +4.11% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHDN advanced for three days, in 175 of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 67 of 167 cases where CHDN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 40%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

CHDN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CHDN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 57 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.091) is normal, around the industry mean (3.369). P/E Ratio (16.628) is within average values for comparable stocks, (1.457). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.140) is also within normal values, averaging (0.476). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.942) is also within normal values, averaging (1.692).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CHDN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 98, placing this stock worse than average.