CHDN Churchill Downs Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CHDN's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CHDN just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where CHDN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.

Following a +1.62% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHDN advanced for three days, in 172 of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

CHDN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHDN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.

The Aroon Indicator for CHDN entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 55 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.303) is normal, around the industry mean (3.824). P/E Ratio (14.056) is within average values for comparable stocks, (2.199). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.140) is also within normal values, averaging (0.476). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.942) is also within normal values, averaging (1.692).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CHDN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CHDN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 100, placing this stock worse than average.