CHDN Churchill Downs Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

CHDN in -3.59% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on September 10, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where CHDN declined for three days, in 235 of 324 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 26, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CHDN as a result. In 66 of 99 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CHDN turned negative on August 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 72%.

CHDN moved below its 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CHDN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +4.19% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHDN advanced for three days, in 179 of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 66 of 167 cases where CHDN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 40%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 57 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.359) is normal, around the industry mean (6.055). P/E Ratio (14.238) is within average values for comparable stocks, (81.891). CHDN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.124). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.970) is also within normal values, averaging (1.720).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. CHDN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CHDN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 97, placing this stock worse than average.