CHT CHUNGHWA TELECOM CO Ltd Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Momentum Indicator for CHT turns negative, indicating new downward trend

CHT saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 01, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 91 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 91 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 32%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for CHT moved out of overbought territory on September 29, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 7 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 23%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 16 of 68 cases where CHT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 24%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CHT turned negative on September 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 14 of the 55 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 25%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 29%.

CHT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +0.65% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHT advanced for three days, in 88 of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 29%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 80 of 258 cases where CHT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 31%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 39 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.095) is normal, around the industry mean (10.715). P/E Ratio (28.791) is within average values for comparable stocks, (33.181). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.170) is also within normal values, averaging (8.005). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.579) is also within normal values, averaging (5.777).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CHT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.