CHWY stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Founded in 2011, Chewy is a leading e-commerce retailer of pet food, toys, supplies, and medications in North America... Show more
Why Chewy (CHWY) Stock Is Up +11.6% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- Chewy (CHWY) shares rose about 11.6% over the last 30 days, from a $21.52 close on July 22, 2026, to $24.02 on August 21, 2026.
- The advance reflects a rebound from oversold levels after a sharp post-earnings selloff in June pushed the stock near $17.51.
- Over the trailing quarter, CHWY is up roughly 16%, but the move has been a volatile V-shaped recovery rather than a steady climb.
- Key supports include a reset valuation, resilient recurring Autoship revenue, margin expansion, and positioning ahead of fiscal Q2 results.
- Investors are watching the upcoming Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings report, customer growth, and consumer-spending trends.
Chewy (CHWY) Company Overview and Market Position
Chewy, Inc. is a leading U.S. online retailer of pet food, treats, supplies, and healthcare products, serving roughly 21.5 million active customers. Based in Plantation, Florida, the company went public in 2019 and competes primarily against brick-and-mortar and online pet retailers such as Petco (WOOF) and generalist e-commerce platforms including Amazon (AMZN).
Chewy's business model is built around recurring, subscription-style purchasing. Its Autoship program accounts for about 84% of total revenue, providing relatively predictable demand. The company is also expanding into higher-margin adjacencies, including Chewy Health, pharmacy services, sponsored advertising, and a growing network of Chewy Vet Care clinics, while using AI to improve customer service, fulfillment, and operating efficiency. Investors follow the stock closely because of its large addressable market, resilient recurring revenue base, and multi-year margin-expansion story.
Chewy (CHWY) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, CHWY advanced from a closing price of $21.52 on July 22, 2026, to $24.02 on August 21, 2026, a gain of about 11.6%. The move was not a straight line upward, with the stock consolidating in the low-$20s through mid-August before pushing toward $24 in the final sessions of the period.
The quarterly picture is more nuanced. Measured from late May, when shares traded around $20.73, CHWY is up roughly 16% over the trailing three months. That headline gain, however, masks significant volatility: the stock sold off sharply in late May and June, bottoming near $17.51 in late June, before recovering steadily through July and August. The result is a clear V-shaped recovery, with the recent 30-day advance representing the upward leg of that rebound.
What Drove CHWY Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The 30-day advance was driven less by a single binary catalyst than by a combination of technical and fundamental factors. After the June selloff, CHWY was trading at a depressed forward earnings multiple, which made the stock attractive to investors focused on valuation. The company's recurring-revenue model, anchored by Autoship, and its continued market-share gains provided a fundamental underpinning for the recovery.
Positioning ahead of the fiscal second-quarter 2026 earnings report, scheduled for early September, also supported the move. Several analysts maintained constructive ratings following the company's guidance cut, with firms such as Raymond James reiterating an Outperform rating, signaling that the post-earnings pessimism had been largely priced in. Margin resilience, growth in sponsored advertising, and the early benefits of AI-driven efficiency initiatives reinforced investor confidence as the stock climbed back above the $23 and $24 levels.
What Drove CHWY Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The quarter's defining event was Chewy's fiscal first-quarter 2026 report on June 10. The company posted adjusted EPS of $0.43 and revenue of about $3.36 billion, up 7.7% year over year, while expanding gross and adjusted EBITDA margins. However, management lowered its full-year revenue guidance to $13.40 billion–$13.55 billion, citing a more cautious consumer, weaker discretionary attachment, and premiumization headwinds.
That guidance cut, combined with a wave of analyst price-target reductions and at least one downgrade, triggered a sharp selloff that pushed shares to a 52-week low near $19.08 and then to an intra-quarter low near $17.51. From that oversold base, the stock began recovering as investors weighed the company's durable Autoship revenue, expanding margins, Chewy Health and veterinary-clinic initiatives, and AI-driven cost savings against the softer near-term growth outlook. The result was a multi-week rebound that carried CHWY back toward $24 by late August.
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CHWY Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Several factors are likely to shape CHWY's next move. The most immediate is the fiscal second-quarter 2026 earnings report, expected in early September, where investors will focus on net sales relative to guidance of $3.30 billion–$3.33 billion, adjusted EBITDA margin, and any update to full-year expectations. Active-customer growth and net sales per active customer will remain key indicators of demand health.
Beyond earnings, investors are monitoring consumer-spending trends, given management's cautious outlook on discretionary and premium purchases, as well as the integration of the Modern Animal acquisition and the expansion of Chewy Vet Care clinics. The continued rollout of AI-driven efficiency initiatives and the performance of sponsored advertising will also matter for margin trajectory. Competitive dynamics in online pet retail and broader macroeconomic conditions, including inflation and fuel costs, round out the key watch items.
Disclaimer
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CHWY's RSI Indicator recovers from overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Oscillator for CHWY moved out of overbought territory on August 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 27 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 54 cases where CHWY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CHWY as a result. In of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CHWY turned negative on August 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHWY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHWY advanced for three days, in of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 170 cases where CHWY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CHWY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (22.831) is normal, around the industry mean (34.747). P/E Ratio (39.433) is within average values for comparable stocks, (40.733). CHWY's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.475) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.113). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.084) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.782) is also within normal values, averaging (1.406).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CHWY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a company which operates as a web-based, pet supplies e-tailer.
Industry InternetRetail