CNH Industrial is the world’s second largest manufacturer of agricultural machinery (82% of industrial net sales) as well as a major player in construction equipment (18% of industrial net sales)... Show more
CNH Industrial N.V. is a global equipment, technology, and services company that designs, manufactures, sells, and finances agricultural and construction machinery. Its portfolio includes the Case IH, New Holland, and STEYR agriculture brands, the CASE Construction Equipment and New Holland Construction brands, and the Raven precision-technology platform, supported by the CNH Capital financing arm. With equipment operating in more than 160 countries and roughly 34,000 employees, CNH generated about $18.1 billion in revenue in 2025.
Investors follow CNH as a bellwether for the agricultural-equipment cycle. The company has been simplifying its portfolio for years—acquiring Raven Industries in 2021, spinning off Iveco Group in 2022, and now divesting a majority of its construction business—to sharpen its focus on agriculture, precision technology, and services.
Over the trailing 30 days, CNH shares climbed about 14.6%, from a close near $11.39 in early October to roughly $13.05 in early November trading. The advance was not linear: the stock slid to about $11 by late October before a sharp single-session rally of more than 12% following the earnings and joint-venture announcements.
The three-month picture has been more volatile. After trading near $10.60 in mid-August, shares rallied to a September peak around $14, then retrenched to roughly $11 in late October as cyclical headwinds resurfaced, before the latest rebound. The result is a meaningful gain off the summer lows, though the path has been choppy.
The sharp move higher in the final days of the period was driven primarily by two announcements made alongside third-quarter results. CNH reported adjusted diluted EPS of $0.16, beating the consensus estimate of $0.10, with consolidated revenue of about $4.35 billion roughly in line with the prior-year quarter. Adjusted net income rose to $205 million from $109 million a year earlier, and adjusted industrial EBIT increased 94%, lifting the adjusted industrial EBIT margin by 270 basis points to 5.5%.
Management also raised full-year guidance, citing stronger execution and the partial benefit of IEEPA tariff refunds. Adjusted diluted EPS guidance moved to $0.44–$0.48, and free cash flow guidance was raised to $300–$450 million.
Separately, CNH announced a definitive agreement to sell a 70% interest in its Construction Equipment business to Kobelco Construction Machinery, a subsidiary of Kobe Steel, valuing the business at an enterprise value of about $1 billion. CNH expects to receive roughly $700 million in cash plus a 30% equity stake in the joint venture, a move management framed as sharpening the company's focus on agriculture and strengthening its balance sheet.
The broader three-month trend reflects a tug-of-war between cyclical weakness and structural repositioning. Agricultural-equipment demand has remained subdued as low commodity prices and high input costs compress farmer profitability, particularly in EMEA and Brazil, while North American cycle indicators have begun to improve. CNH has responded with disciplined production planning and deliberate dealer-inventory reductions, cutting agricultural dealer inventories by about $100 million during the quarter.
Strategic milestones, including an end-of-August alliance with Bourgault Industries to expand its global seeding portfolio and the Kobelco construction deal, have reinforced investor confidence in CNH's transformation into a focused agriculture technology leader. These factors, combined with tariff refunds and cost discipline, have underpinned the stock's recovery from its October lows.
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Looking ahead, the key variables include the trajectory of the agricultural-equipment cycle, the timing and pace of recovery in North America versus ongoing weakness in EMEA and Brazil, and commodity-price and farm-income trends. The completion of the Kobelco construction joint venture—expected by the end of 2027, subject to regulatory approvals—and any further portfolio actions will also shape sentiment. Investors should monitor CNH's full-year results, progress on dealer-inventory reductions, the net impact of tariff refunds and reinvestment, and management's commentary on the 2027 demand outlook.
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The Aroon Indicator for CNH entered a downward trend on November 09, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 198 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 156 of the 198 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 79%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 45 of 63 cases where CNH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
CNH moved below its 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CNH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 17 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CNH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
CNH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CNH's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CNH as a result. In 64 of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CNH just turned positive on November 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where CNH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Following a +13.96% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CNH advanced for three days, in 175 of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CNH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 45 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 68 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.397) is normal, around the industry mean (2.277). P/E Ratio (46.240) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.106). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.362) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.926) is also within normal values, averaging (1.169).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CNH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a maker of agricultural and construction equipment
Industry TrucksConstructionFarmMachinery