COLL Stock Collegium Pharmaceutical (COLL, $22.51) RSI Indicator left the oversold zone on October 14, 2026
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This is a signal that COLL's price could be shifting from a downtrend to an uptrend. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. A.I.dvisor looked back and found 26 similar cases where COLL's RSI Indicator left the oversold zone, and in of them led to a successful outcome. Odds of Success:
COLL's RSI Indicator peaks and leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Indicator for COLL moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 30 of the 42 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 39 of 59 cases where COLL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COLL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
COLL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on COLL as a result. In 63 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
COLL moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for COLL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Following a +4.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COLL advanced for three days, in 220 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 174 of 230 cases where COLL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 76%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 58 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.527) is normal, around the industry mean (6.379). P/E Ratio (16.033) is within average values for comparable stocks, (0.548). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.664) is also within normal values, averaging (2.202). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.062) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.995) is also within normal values, averaging (183.387).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. COLL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. COLL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.