CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

CVGI's Stochastic Oscillator descends into oversold zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for CVGI moved into oversold territory on January 08, 2025. Be on the watch for the price uptrend or consolidation in the future. At that time, consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 03, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CVGI as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CVGI just turned positive on December 26, 2024. Looking at past instances where CVGI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CVGI advanced for three days, in of 263 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVGI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for CVGI entered a downward trend on December 20, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.274) is normal, around the industry mean (12.162). P/E Ratio (4.422) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.769). CVGI's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.358) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.991). CVGI has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.029). P/S Ratio (0.219) is also within normal values, averaging (27.378).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. CVGI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CVGI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.