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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Feb 19, 2021

Dropbox (DBX, $23.68) beats Q4 earnings and revenue expectations

Dropbox posted fourth quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ expectations, on the back of increasing number of paying users.

The file hosting service’s earnings for the quarter came in at 28 cents a share(up from the year-ago quarter’s 16 cents a share), compared to the 24 cents a share expected by analysts polled by Factset.

Revenue of $504.1 billion (up from year-ago period’s $446 million), also exceeded analysts’ forecast of $498 million.

According to Dropbox,  it had 15.48 million paying users as of end of the fourth quarter, compared to 14.31 million for the same period last year. The average revenue per paying user in the period was $130.17, up from $125.00 a year ago.

Dropbox CEO Drew Houston said, “We ended the year with strong margin expansion, free cash flow, and more than $2B in ARR as we continued to make progress toward our long-term financial targets” . Houston added, “Going into 2021, we’re focused on executing against our strategy and building essential products for the new era of distributed work.”

 The company announced that its board had approved a $1 billion share repurchase  plan.

 

 

 

 

 

Related Ticker: DBX

DBX in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on June 25, 2025

DBX moved below its 50-day moving average on June 25, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 45 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 01, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DBX as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DBX turned negative on June 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for DBX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 24, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DBX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for DBX entered a downward trend on July 10, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DBX advanced for three days, in of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (31.479). P/E Ratio (18.550) is within average values for comparable stocks, (164.144). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.200) is also within normal values, averaging (2.732). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.357) is also within normal values, averaging (62.041).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DBX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock slightly better than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 12.76B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 14%. GAME experienced the highest price growth at 108%, while OHCS experienced the biggest fall at -56%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 34%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -6% and the average quarterly volume growth was -11%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 69
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: 2 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of file backup, sync and sharing solutions

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Data Processing Services
Address
1800 Owens Street
Phone
+1 415 857-6800
Employees
2693
Web
https://www.dropbox.com