DLTH stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Duluth Holdings Inc is an apparel brand in the United States... Show more
Why Duluth Holdings (DLTH) Is Up +39% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- DLTH stock surged +39% over the past 30 days, driven primarily by a strong Q4 earnings beat on March 19 with net income of $7.8 million and gross margin expansion to 53.0%.
- Over the past quarter, the stock rose approximately +40%, reflecting improved profitability, inventory reduction, and positive guidance despite sales declines.
- Key factors include gross margin gains from reduced promotions and sourcing efficiencies, positive free cash flow of $16.6 million for FY2025, and analyst price targets around $5.00.
- Market sentiment shifted positively post-earnings, with the stock spiking over 40% in a single day before stabilizing higher.
- Sector trends in apparel retail favored cost-control stories amid softer demand.
Duluth Holdings (DLTH) Company Overview and Market Position
Duluth Holdings Inc. (DLTH) is a lifestyle brand offering men's and women's casual wear, workwear, and outdoor accessories through retail stores, e-commerce, and catalogs. Its core business model emphasizes over 90% proprietary products sold via direct-to-consumer and wholesale channels, focusing on durable, functional apparel like shirts, pants, and accessories. Operating in the competitive apparel retail industry, DLTH differentiates through brand loyalty and private-label innovation. Recent stock behavior aligns with its fundamentals: despite sales pressure from reduced promotions, aggressive inventory management (down 21.1%) and margin expansion have boosted profitability, aiding the price recovery.
Duluth Holdings (DLTH) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, DLTH advanced +39%, closing at $3.09 from around $2.23 on March 3. The movement was volatile and trend-driven, with a sharp spike following the March 19 earnings release—jumping from $2.14 to over $3.05—before range-bound trading between $2.89 and $3.18.
For the past quarter, the stock gained roughly +40%, from $2.21 in early January to the current $3.09. Performance featured early-year lows near $2.07 in December/January, gradual recovery, and acceleration post-earnings, underscoring a steady upward trajectory amid volatility.
What Drove DLTH Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The primary catalyst was Duluth Holdings' Q4 and FY2025 earnings on March 19, reporting Q4 net income of $7.8 million (versus a prior-year loss), gross margin of 53.0% (up 890 basis points), and FY net loss narrowed to $16.2 million. Despite Q4 sales down 10.5% to $215.9 million, beats on EPS ($0.23 vs. $0.15 expected) and revenue triggered a pre-market surge of over 26%, propelling the stock +44% in one day.
Improvements stemmed from disciplined promotional resets, direct-to-factory sourcing, and expense cuts (SG&A down 4.8%). Inventory fell 21.1%, and FY2025 free cash flow turned positive at $16.6 million. Analyst reactions, including maintained Outperform ratings with $5 targets, sustained momentum. Broader apparel sector sentiment supported stocks showing margin resilience amid consumer caution.
What Drove DLTH Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The quarter's +40% rise built on operational turnaround narratives. Q3 results in December showed net loss narrowing to $10.1 million, gross margin at 53.8% (up 150 bps), and sales down 9.6%—yet adjusted EBITDA improved to near-breakeven. Inventory dropped 17%, signaling supply chain discipline.
FY2026 guidance for $540-$560 million sales and $26-$30 million adjusted EBITDA (EBITDA: earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) reinforced stabilization. Macro factors like persistent inflation and selective consumer spending in apparel pressured volumes, but DLTH's cost controls and 90%+ private-label focus provided a buffer. Institutional interest grew with the profitability shift, outweighing sales headwinds.
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DLTH Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Investors should monitor Q1 FY2026 earnings for progress on sales stabilization and margin trends. Upcoming quarters' EPS estimates show losses (-$0.39 for Apr 2026), with focus on beating via cost efficiencies. Industry shifts in apparel demand, potential tariff impacts on sourcing, and macroeconomic indicators like consumer spending and inflation will influence sentiment. Strategic developments, including new store openings or e-commerce optimizations, alongside inventory levels and free cash flow, remain key. Risks include prolonged sales softness; catalysts could be upward revisions to FY2026 EBITDA guidance.
Disclaimer
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DLTH's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DLTH turned positive on May 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where DLTH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DLTH as a result. In of 102 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
DLTH moved above its 50-day moving average on May 18, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DLTH advanced for three days, in of 254 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 114 cases where DLTH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 64 cases where DLTH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 10-day moving average for DLTH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DLTH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
DLTH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DLTH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.774) is normal, around the industry mean (3.526). DLTH has a moderately low P/E Ratio (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (20.581). DLTH's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.875). DLTH has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.032). P/S Ratio (0.210) is also within normal values, averaging (0.744).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DLTH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a company which manufactures, designs and supplies cloths
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail