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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 17, 2021

Dow (DOW, $59.98) and LyondellBasell (LYB, $96.04) shares downgraded by Bank of America analyst

Shares of Dow Inc. and LyondellBasell  fell after Bank of America analyst Steve Byrne downgraded rating on the chemicals companies.

Byrne cut his rating on Dow Inc. shares to underperform from neutral, while lowering his price target to $68 from $71. He downgraded LyondellBasell stock to neutral from buy and reduced his price target to $114 from $117.

The lowered outlook was largely due to the possibility of commodity price inflation peaking. The analyst is concerned that the risk could hurt a number of chemical chains as China slows, production recovers, and spending shifts from goods to services. “This is particularly true for U.S. polyethylene markets, as inventory balances approach healthier levels and domestic demand is being met. While U.S. polyethylene prices could move higher from here, we see the strength as increasingly at risk, with substantial downside possible,” Byrne noted.

Related Ticker: DOW

Momentum Indicator for DOW turns positive, indicating new upward trend

DOW saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on July 08, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 91 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 91 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 55 cases where DOW's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DOW just turned positive on July 09, 2025. Looking at past instances where DOW's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

DOW moved above its 50-day moving average on July 09, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DOW advanced for three days, in of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for DOW crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 26, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DOW declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

DOW broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 09, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for DOW entered a downward trend on June 12, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.217) is normal, around the industry mean (3.653). P/E Ratio (71.049) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.612). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.788) is also within normal values, averaging (6.312). Dividend Yield (0.048) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.926) is also within normal values, averaging (97.810).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DOW’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DOW’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Dow (NYSE:DOW), DuPont de Nemours (NYSE:DD), Chemours Company (The) (NYSE:CC).

Industry description

The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Chemicals: Specialty Industry is 9.36B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 47 to 223.16B. LIN holds the highest valuation in this group at 223.16B. The lowest valued company is GTBT at 47.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Chemicals: Specialty Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. IOFNF experienced the highest price growth at 12%, while EESE experienced the biggest fall at -24%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Chemicals: Specialty Industry was -4%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 8% and the average quarterly volume growth was 17%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: 11 (-100 ... +100)
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