EuroDry Ltd is a holding company... Show more
EuroDry Ltd. is a Greece-based, Nasdaq-listed owner and operator of dry bulk carriers that provide seaborne transportation for commodities such as iron ore, coal, grain, bauxite, and fertilizers. The company was spun off from Euroseas Ltd. (ESEA) in 2018 and is led by Chairman and CEO Aristides Pittas.
EuroDry operates a fleet of 11 mid-sized vessels spanning the Panamax, Kamsarmax, Ultramax, and Supramax classes, with combined capacity of roughly 766,000 deadweight tons. Its earnings are highly sensitive to charter rates, because most of its vessels trade on short-term or index-linked charters. That full market exposure makes EDRY a high-beta way to play the dry bulk shipping cycle, which is why investors follow the stock closely whenever freight rates turn.
Over the last 30 days, EDRY has fallen about 26%, from a close of $55.88 in early October to roughly $41.40. The decline was not a straight line: shares briefly rebounded into the low $60s in early October before a steady slide through the second half of the month brought them into the low $40s.
The broader three-month picture is more constructive but equally volatile. From the mid-$20s in early August, the stock surged to an all-time closing high of $71.85 on September 17 before reversing. Net over the trailing quarter, the shares remain up more than 50%, though they now sit more than 40% below their September peak.
The primary catalyst was a sharp correction in dry bulk freight rates. The Baltic Dry Index, a benchmark for the cost of moving raw materials by sea, fell roughly 20% over the month, including a 10-day losing streak in mid-October that pushed the index to its lowest level since late June. Capesize rates slumped on weaker iron ore demand and soft Chinese steel sentiment, while the Panamax index touched a six-month low.
EDRY's decline also reflected profit-taking after an unusually strong run. The stock had climbed in triple digits over the prior six months, and management capitalized on that strength by establishing a $20 million at-the-market equity program in September and selling shares near the stock's highs. That issuance, together with a broad risk-off session in mid-October triggered by hotter-than-expected inflation data, reinforced the downward momentum.
The quarter's defining feature was a powerful, freight-rate-driven re-rating followed by a sharp unwind. Strong iron ore, bauxite, and coal demand, longer voyage distances, and geopolitical trade disruptions tightened vessel availability and lifted rates, helping EuroDry's average time charter equivalent rate more than double year over year to about $20,400 per day in the second quarter. Revenue rose 57% to $17.7 million, and the company swung to a net profit.
Those fundamentals pushed the shares well above the company's estimated net asset value and attracted profit-taking as rates began to roll over. Concerns about a heavy newbuilding orderbook, particularly in the Ultramax segment, added to the caution late in the period.
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Going forward, investors are likely to focus on dry bulk freight rates, especially the Baltic Supramax Index that EuroDry's index-linked charters track, along with third-quarter results and any updated guidance on charter coverage. Fleet-renewal milestones, including the scheduled deliveries of newbuildings in 2027 and 2028, and the pace of any further at-the-market share issuance will also matter.
On the risk side, a heavy Ultramax orderbook and elevated global newbuilding orders raise the prospect of vessel oversupply, while softer global growth or weaker Chinese commodity demand could pressure rates. EuroDry's limited fixed charter coverage for the remainder of 2026 leaves earnings exposed to spot-market swings in both directions.
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The Aroon Indicator for EDRY entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 128 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 104 of the 128 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 81%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EDRY as a result. In 72 of 104 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
EDRY moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for EDRY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EDRY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where EDRY's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 12 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +12.11% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EDRY advanced for three days, in 199 of 272 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
EDRY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EDRY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 59 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.099) is normal, around the industry mean (-113.496). P/E Ratio (10.270) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.821). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.250) is also within normal values, averaging (0.581). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (16.828) among similar stocks. EDRY's P/S Ratio (3.118) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.795).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. EDRY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 66, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of marine and ocean-going transportation services
Industry MarineShipping