What is the significance of the 10-day moving average indicator for ELPC?

The 10-day moving average for ELPC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 2 of 4 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

What does a 3-day price advance indicate for ELPC?

Following a +3.29% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ELPC advanced for three days, in 89 of 131 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

ELPC

AS OF

Jun 23, 02:07 PM (EDT)

Price

$11.59

Change

-$0.04 (-0.34%)

Capitalization

8.38B

43 days until earnings call

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ELPC

Stock ticker: NYSE

AS OF

Jun 23, 02:07 PM (EDT)

Price

$11.59

Change

-$0.04 (-0.34%)

Capitalization

8.38B

ELPC

Stock ticker: NYSE

PRICE

CHANGE

CAPITALIZATION

ELPC stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Cia Paranaense De Energia Copel is engaged in the areas of generation, transmission, commercialization and distribution of energy... Show more

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Companhia Paranaense de Energia (ELPC) Stock Analysis: Hydropower Wins Fuel Momentum

Key Takeaways

ELPC shares have shown strength in recent weeks, hitting new 52-week highs near $12 amid positive operational news.
Copel secured 1,862.8 MW in long-term capacity contracts through Brazil's LRCAP 2026 auction, boosting revenue visibility.
Goldman Sachs maintained a Buy rating, highlighting the company's strategic positioning in Brazil's energy sector.
Upcoming digital shareholder meetings on April 23 will review 2025 results, dividends, and 2026 capital budget.
Diversified utility operations support resilient performance amid fluctuating market conditions.

Current Market Snapshot

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (ELPC), known as Copel, has demonstrated robust performance in recent trading sessions, trading around $11.50 with a market capitalization exceeding $8.5 billion. The stock has outperformed broader indices over the past year, driven by strong fundamentals in generation, transmission, and distribution. Recent volatility reflects sector dynamics, including regulatory auctions and governance updates, yet ELPC maintains attractive dividend yields above 5% and trades near multi-year highs. Investor sentiment remains positive, supported by operational expansions and analyst confidence in the company's role within Brazil's evolving energy landscape.

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Recent Developments Driving ELPC Price Action

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (ELPC), Brazil's integrated utility Copel, has experienced notable price appreciation in recent weeks, propelled by key operational and corporate milestones. The stock reached a 52-week high near $12 before modest pullbacks, reflecting investor enthusiasm for long-term revenue assurances and governance enhancements.

A pivotal catalyst emerged on March 18, when Copel announced victory in Brazil's LRCAP 2026 Capacity Reserve Auction, securing 15-year contracts for 1,862.8 MW from its Foz do Areia (726.2 MW) and Segredo (1,136.6 MW) hydropower plants, starting commercial operations in August 2030. Fixed gross revenues are set at R$ 1,395 thousand/MW/year per plant, underpinned by estimated investments of R$1.3 billion for Foz do Areia and R$3.6 billion for Segredo, with 70% leverage. This success, part of a national auction contracting nearly 19 GW, bolsters Copel's portfolio competitiveness, operational flexibility, and organic growth while monetizing legacy hydro assets through indexed tariffs. The news drove intraday gains exceeding 5% shortly after, as it signals stable cash flows amid Brazil's energy security push.

On March 23, Goldman Sachs reaffirmed its Buy rating on ELPC (and local CPLE3), citing the auction win and Copel's strategic execution. This analyst endorsement coincided with elevated trading volume and further upside, underscoring confidence in the utility's value creation with controlled risks.

Corporate governance advanced with the March 23 announcement of fully digital Annual and Extraordinary General Meetings on April 23, 2026. The agenda includes approving 2025 financials, profit allocation, dividends, the 2026 capital budget, and electing a board member—reinforcing Copel's Novo Mercado listing benefits like streamlined rules and high payouts. Earlier, on March 6, the board cleared 2025 results and the 2026 investment plan, building on Q4 2025 recurring EBITDA growth of 16.1% to R$1.358 billion.

Shareholder updates included BNDES reducing its stake to 19.9% on March 11, alongside Form 3 filings for executive holdings. These developments, amid macroeconomic factors like Brazil's grid reliability needs, have linked directly to ELPC's price momentum, with YTD gains near 20% and 1-year returns over 69%.

2026 Outlook and Key Factors to Monitor

As Companhia Paranaense de Energia (ELPC) navigates 2026, investors should track execution of its capital budget, approved alongside 2025 results, which supports ongoing investments in generation and transmission amid Brazil's energy transition. The LRCAP auction wins position Copel for revenue stability from hydro expansions, with R$4.9 billion in planned outlays for Foz do Areia and Segredo, leveraging 70% debt to optimize returns while managing hydrology risks.

Key themes include regulatory approvals for April shareholder meetings, dividend policies reflecting Novo Mercado standards, and portfolio diversification beyond hydro into renewables. Industry catalysts like further ANEEL auctions and national grid demands offer growth levers, balanced against currency fluctuations, interest rates, and leverage increases. Competitive dynamics in Brazil's utilities sector, alongside cost controls and operational efficiency, will shape performance. Monitoring SEC filings, auction outcomes, and macroeconomic indicators remains essential for assessing Copel's sustained positioning.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations

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a Summary for ELPC with price predictions

Jun 22, 2026

Momentum Indicator for ELPC turns positive, indicating new upward trend

ELPC saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 22, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 43 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ELPC just turned positive on June 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where ELPC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 23 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ELPC advanced for three days, in of 131 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 29 cases where ELPC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for ELPC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 4 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ELPC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for ELPC entered a downward trend on June 15, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.868) is normal, around the industry mean (1.899). P/E Ratio (16.545) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.324). ELPC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (2.450). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.632) is also within normal values, averaging (83.803).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ELPC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ELPC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 50, placing this stock worse than average.

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published Dividends

ELPC is expected to pay dividends on October 13, 2026

Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL ELPC Stock Dividends

A dividend of $0.19 per share will be paid with a record date of October 13, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of May 01, 2026. The last dividend of $0.33 was paid on July 10. Read more...

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published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nextera Energy Inc (NYSE:NEE), Southern Company (The) (NYSE:SO), Dominion Energy (NYSE:D), PG&E Corp (NYSE:PCG).

Industry description

Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Electric Utilities Industry is 30.69B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 500 to 179.53B. NEE holds the highest valuation in this group at 179.53B. The lowest valued company is SLTZ at 500.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Electric Utilities Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 10%. IMSR experienced the highest price growth at 4%, while EDN experienced the biggest fall at -7%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Electric Utilities Industry was 0%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 24% and the average quarterly volume growth was 196%