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ESNT Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Head-and-Shoulders Top ESNT on May 28, 2025, netting in a 3.05% gain over 1 month

A.I.dvisor
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+3.05% Gain from a Successful pattern Head-and-Shoulders Top
ESNT - Essent Group Ltd
Tickeron
Ticker: ESNT
Company: Essent Group
Gain from shorting: +3.05%
Confirmed: 05/28/25
Succeeded: 07/14/25
Total length: 48 days
On May 27, 2025, A.I.dvisor detected a Head-and-Shoulders Top Pattern (Bearish) for Essent Group Ltd (ESNT, $58.23). 1 day later, on May 28, 2025, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On July 14, 2025, the stock hit the target price of $55.77 – resulting in a gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

Momentum Indicator for ESNT turns negative, indicating new downward trend

ESNT saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on July 08, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 99 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 99 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ESNT turned negative on July 08, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

ESNT moved below its 50-day moving average on July 10, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ESNT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 16, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ESNT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ESNT's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The 50-day moving average for ESNT moved above the 200-day moving average on June 23, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ESNT advanced for three days, in of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ESNT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 249 cases where ESNT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 54, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ESNT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.233) is normal, around the industry mean (1.881). P/E Ratio (9.057) is within average values for comparable stocks, (30.402). ESNT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.179). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.627) is also within normal values, averaging (4.516).

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General Information

a holding company through its subsidiaries, which offers mortgage insurance, reinsurance and risk management products

Industry SpecialtyInsurance

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Specialty Insurance
Address
2 Church Street
Phone
+1 441 297-9901
Employees
536
Web
https://ir.essentgroup.com