ESNT Essent Group Ltd Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Momentum Indicator for ESNT turns negative, indicating new downward trend

ESNT saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on September 09, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 98 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 54 of the 98 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 55%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 33 of 66 cases where ESNT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ESNT turned negative on August 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 22 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 50%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ESNT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.

ESNT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 07, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +2.26% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ESNT advanced for three days, in 203 of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 157 of 313 cases where ESNT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 50%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 54, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ESNT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.082) is normal, around the industry mean (1.140). P/E Ratio (9.509) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.934). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. ESNT's P/S Ratio (4.810) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.568).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.