ESNT Essent Group Ltd Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The 10-day moving average for ESNT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

Following a +4.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ESNT advanced for three days, in 198 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 157 of 324 cases where ESNT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 48%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ESNT as a result. In 56 of 99 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ESNT turned negative on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 21 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 45%.

ESNT moved below its 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ESNT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ESNT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.006) is normal, around the industry mean (0.987). P/E Ratio (8.758) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.360). ESNT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.200) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.944). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.486) among similar stocks. ESNT's P/S Ratio (4.785) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.529).