ESNT Essent Group Ltd Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

ESNT in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026

ESNT moved below its 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 24 of 48 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ESNT as a result. In 47 of 97 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.

The 10-day moving average for ESNT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 41%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ESNT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +2.26% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ESNT advanced for three days, in 203 of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

ESNT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 152 of 308 cases where ESNT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 49%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ESNT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 73 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.007) is normal, around the industry mean (-0.070). P/E Ratio (8.848) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.873). ESNT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.200) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.944). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.023) among similar stocks. ESNT's P/S Ratio (4.785) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.529).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.