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FBMS
Stock ticker: NASDAQ
AS OF
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Capitalization
830.61M

FBMS First Bancshares Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

a major bank

Industry RegionalBanks
Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FBMS with price predictions
08:00 PM EDT Oct 02, 2023

FBMS's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for FBMS entered a downward trend on October 03, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 198 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 198 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 15, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FBMS as a result. In of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FBMS turned negative on October 03, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

FBMS moved below its 50-day moving average on September 05, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FBMS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 05, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FBMS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FBMS's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 53 cases where FBMS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for FBMS moved above the 200-day moving average on August 28, 2023. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FBMS advanced for three days, in of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

FBMS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FBMS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.932) is normal, around the industry mean (0.964). P/E Ratio (10.616) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.940). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.829). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.800) is also within normal values, averaging (2.436).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FBMS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are US Bancorp (NYSE:USB), Itau Unibanco Holding SA (NYSE:ITUB), PNC Financial Services Group (NYSE:PNC), Banco Bradesco SA (NYSE:BBD), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (NYSE:DB), Regions Financial Corp (NYSE:RF), Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ:HBAN), KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY), Veritex Holdings (NASDAQ:VBTX).

Industry description

Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Regional Banks Industry is 5.42B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 10.73K to 139.36B. HDB holds the highest valuation in this group at 139.36B. The lowest valued company is ACBCQ at 10.73K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Regional Banks Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. CHBAY experienced the highest price growth at 33%, while BRBS experienced the biggest fall at -47%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Regional Banks Industry was 12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 17% and the average quarterly volume growth was -16%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 69
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 37
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: 28 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

FBMS is expected to report earnings to fall 6.65% to 79 cents per share on October 23

First Bancshares FBMS Stock Earnings Reports
Q3'23
Est.
$0.79
Q2'23
Beat
by $0.08
Q1'23
Beat
by $0.14
Q4'22
Missed
by $0.09
Q3'22
Beat
by $0.04
The last earnings report on July 26 showed earnings per share of 85 cents, beating the estimate of 77 cents. With 8.40K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 830.61M.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

FBMS paid dividends on August 24, 2023

First Bancshares FBMS Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.23 per share was paid with a record date of August 24, 2023, and an ex-dividend date of August 07, 2023. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a major bank

Industry RegionalBanks

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Major Banks
Address
6480 U.S. Highway 98 West
Phone
+1 601 268-8998
Employees
870
Web
https://www.thefirstbank.com
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FBMS and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FBMS has been closely correlated with ABCB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FBMS jumps, then ABCB could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FBMS
1D Price
Change %
FBMS100%
-2.02%
ABCB - FBMS
81%
Closely correlated
-2.01%
PPBI - FBMS
80%
Closely correlated
-1.46%
TOWN - FBMS
77%
Closely correlated
-1.47%
HOMB - FBMS
77%
Closely correlated
+0.34%
OCFC - FBMS
77%
Closely correlated
-2.03%
More

Groups containing FBMS

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FBMS
1D Price
Change %
FBMS100%
-2.02%
FBMS
(undefined stocks)
86%
Closely correlated
+0.28%
banks
(undefined stocks)
83%
Closely correlated
+0.27%
major banks
(undefined stocks)
79%
Closely correlated
-0.04%