FDMT 4D Molecular Therapeutics Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc is biotechnology company advancing durable and disease-targeted therapeutics with potential to transform treatment paradigms and provide unprecedented benefits to patients... Show more
FDMT is expected to report earnings to -100 cents per share on August 06
Q2'26
Est.
$-1.01
Q1'26
Missed
by $0.01
Q4'25
Beat
by $0.96
Q3'25
Est.
$-1.01
Q2'25
Missed
by $0.25
The last earnings report on May 07 showed earnings per share of -100 cents, missing the estimate of -100 cents. With 437.56K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 532.17M.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FDMT has been loosely correlated with KYTX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FDMT jumps, then KYTX could also see price increases.
The Aroon Indicator for FDMT entered a downward trend on July 31, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 231 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 231 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for FDMT moved out of overbought territory on July 09, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FDMT as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FDMT turned negative on July 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
FDMT moved below its 50-day moving average on July 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for FDMT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 31, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FDMT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 13 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FDMT advanced for three days, in of 256 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
FDMT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.178) is normal, around the industry mean (19.620). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (38.277). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.532). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.037) is also within normal values, averaging (420.906).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FDMT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FDMT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
