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FERG
Stock ticker: NYSE
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FERG stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Ferguson distributes plumbing and HVAC products to North American repair, maintenance, and improvement, new construction, and civil infrastructure markets... Show more

FERG
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts

Why Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) Is Down -14% in the Last 30 Days

Key Takeaways

  • Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) stock declined approximately 14% over the past 30 days amid selling pressure tied to soft residential construction demand.
  • Over the last quarter, the stock experienced a broader downward trend influenced by muted full-year guidance and sector headwinds.
  • Recent quarterly results showed an earnings per share (EPS) miss alongside modest revenue growth, pressuring investor sentiment.
  • Macro factors including slower residential building activity and cautious 2026 sales outlook contributed to the price movement.
  • Analyst expectations for potential earnings beats in future reports offer some counterbalance but have not yet reversed the near-term decline.

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) Company Overview and Market Position

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. is North America’s largest value-added distributor of essential water and air solutions. The company serves specialized professionals in residential and non-residential construction markets through a network of branches, distribution centers, and a large fleet. Its core business model focuses on supplying plumbing, heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), pipe, valves, and fittings (PVF), appliances, lighting, and water and wastewater products. As a key player in the building products distribution industry, Ferguson benefits from scale and supplier relationships but remains exposed to cyclical demand in housing and commercial construction. These fundamentals help explain recent stock behavior, as weaker residential activity directly impacts volumes and growth visibility.

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter

Over the last 30 days, Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) stock fell approximately 14%, moving from levels near $260 to the recent close of $223.31. The decline appeared steady rather than highly volatile, with consistent downward pressure across multiple trading sessions. In the last quarter, the stock followed a similar downward trajectory, reflecting sustained concerns over demand and guidance. Both periods showed range-bound weakness driven by fundamental factors rather than sharp intraday swings.

What Drove FERG Stock Price in the Last 30 Days

The primary catalyst for the 30-day decline was ongoing softness in residential construction, which weighed on sales volumes and investor confidence. Recent earnings results highlighted an EPS miss relative to estimates, even as revenue showed modest year-over-year growth. Muted full-year 2026 guidance projecting only low to mid-single-digit sales growth amplified concerns. Sector-wide caution around housing market conditions contributed to broader selling, with technical indicators turning negative as moving averages signaled downward momentum. No major analyst upgrades offset the pressure during this window.

What Drove FERG Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter

Over the quarter, the dominant narrative centered on persistent residential demand weakness and management’s tempered outlook for 2026. Macroeconomic conditions, including slower housing starts and elevated interest rate sensitivity in construction, created headwinds for the distribution sector. Institutional investors appeared to rotate away amid these uncertainties, leading to cumulative price erosion. Competitive positioning in a fragmented market offered some stability through cost controls and acquisitions, yet these factors were insufficient to counter the broader negative sentiment tied to end-market exposure.

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FERG Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next

Investors should monitor upcoming quarterly earnings releases for signs of revenue stabilization or margin expansion. Industry trends in residential and non-residential construction activity, along with housing market data, will remain key indicators. The broader macroeconomic environment—including interest rates, inflation trends, and regulatory developments affecting building materials—could influence demand. Strategic updates on acquisitions, share repurchases, or operational efficiencies may also affect sentiment. Risks include prolonged weakness in housing starts, while potential catalysts involve better-than-expected earnings or positive shifts in construction spending.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FERG with price predictions
Jun 05, 2026

FERG in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on May 07, 2026

FERG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 33 cases where FERG's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FERG's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 01, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FERG as a result. In of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FERG just turned positive on June 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where FERG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FERG advanced for three days, in of 343 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

FERG moved below its 50-day moving average on May 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FERG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FERG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for FERG entered a downward trend on May 29, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.582) is normal, around the industry mean (5.002). P/E Ratio (22.596) is within average values for comparable stocks, (152.042). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.475) is also within normal values, averaging (2.041). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.447) is also within normal values, averaging (1.597).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. FERG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

FERG is expected to pay dividends on July 08, 2026

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. FERG Stock Dividends
A dividend of $0.89 per share will be paid with a record date of July 08, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of May 15, 2026. The last dividend of $0.89 was paid on April 30. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Fastenal Co (NASDAQ:FAST).

Industry description

Electronics distributors are companies that are involved in distribution of one or more of the following: electronic components, computer products/ peripherals and software products & services. Several electronics distributors are also becoming the point of contact for technical/pre- & post-sale support in many cases, in an attempt to bolster their position in the market. Tariffs and/or cross-border trade barriers are some of the potential threats to the electronics supply chain, but that could also potentially lead to re-directing to markets where tariffs/restrictions are lower depending on demand. The industry is also vulnerable in the event of economic slowdowns. Arrow Electronics, Inc., SYNNEX Corporation and Versum Materials, Inc. are some of the major electronics distributors in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Electronics Distributors Industry is 12.4B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 23.01K to 61.38B. GWW holds the highest valuation in this group at 61.38B. The lowest valued company is OMPS at 23.01K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Electronics Distributors Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. DXPE experienced the highest price growth at 9%, while XMTR experienced the biggest fall at -15%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Electronics Distributors Industry was -9%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -9% and the average quarterly volume growth was 55%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 56
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 72
Seasonality Score: 35 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

Industry ElectronicsDistributors

Profile
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
1020 Eskdale Road
Phone
+44 1189273800
Employees
35000
Web
https://www.fergusonplc.com
Why Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) Is Down -14% in the Last 30 Days