FERG Ferguson Enterprises Inc. Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

FERG in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on August 31, 2026

FERG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 29 of 33 cases where FERG's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FERG's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 24 of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 25, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FERG as a result. In 64 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FERG just turned positive on September 23, 2026. Looking at past instances where FERG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

Following a +3.24% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FERG advanced for three days, in 231 of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

FERG moved below its 50-day moving average on August 25, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FERG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 31, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FERG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

The Aroon Indicator for FERG entered a downward trend on September 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 34 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.092) is normal, around the industry mean (7.841). P/E Ratio (22.372) is within average values for comparable stocks, (134.538). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.426) is also within normal values, averaging (2.538). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.351) is also within normal values, averaging (3.013).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. FERG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.