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FERG
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
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Price
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Capitalization
34.32B

FERG Ferguson plc Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FERG with price predictions
07:00 PM EST Nov 28, 2023

FERG in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on November 10, 2023

FERG moved above its 50-day moving average on November 10, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 30 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 02, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FERG as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FERG just turned positive on November 06, 2023. Looking at past instances where FERG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for FERG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 14, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FERG advanced for three days, in of 207 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 382 cases where FERG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 17 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FERG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

FERG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 14, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 54, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FERG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: FERG's P/B Ratio (6.761) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.686). P/E Ratio (18.349) is within average values for comparable stocks, (29.020). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.242) is also within normal values, averaging (2.737). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.028) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.166) is also within normal values, averaging (1.344).

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Fastenal Company (NASDAQ:FAST).

Industry description

Companies in this industry handle the wholesale shipments for the manufacturer of a product. They have warehouses and distribution centers, and they ship products directly to the retailer. Digitization, increasing competition, emerging customer demand, and product innovation are some of shifts that the industry has been facing in recent times – something that is potentially creating needs/opportunities for business model revisions or transformations. Data, analytics, and technology are becoming increasingly important for whole distributors in anticipating and analyzing consumer needs, and therefore planning their business strategies accordingly. Fastenal Company, W.W. Grainger, Inc., Genuine Parts Company and Pool Corporation are some of the largest names in the business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Wholesale Distributors Industry is 6.88B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 70.2K to 40.22B. GWW holds the highest valuation in this group at 40.22B. The lowest valued company is SCOO at 70.2K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Wholesale Distributors Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 2%. EENEF experienced the highest price growth at 19%, while HPURF experienced the biggest fall at -13%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Wholesale Distributors Industry was 36%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -2% and the average quarterly volume growth was -15%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 47
SMR Rating: 51
Profit Risk Rating: 54
Seasonality Score: -5 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

FERG is expected to report earnings to fall 5.78% to $2.61 per share on December 05

Ferguson plc FERG Stock Earnings Reports
Q4'23
Est.
$2.61
Q3'23
Beat
by $0.32
Q2'23
Beat
by $0.04
Q1'23
Missed
by $0.07
Q4'22
Beat
by $0.03
The last earnings report on September 26 showed earnings per share of $2.77, beating the estimate of $2.45. With 123.05K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 34.32B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

FERG paid dividends on November 15, 2023

Ferguson plc FERG Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.75 per share was paid with a record date of November 15, 2023, and an ex-dividend date of October 05, 2023. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Industry WholesaleDistributors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
1020 Eskdale Road
Phone
+44 1189273800
Employees
36000
Web
https://www.fergusonplc.com
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FERG and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FERG has been loosely correlated with WSO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FERG jumps, then WSO could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FERG
1D Price
Change %
FERG100%
+0.81%
WSO - FERG
60%
Loosely correlated
+0.45%
POOL - FERG
59%
Loosely correlated
-1.42%
SITE - FERG
57%
Loosely correlated
+0.82%
CNM - FERG
51%
Loosely correlated
+1.17%
FAST - FERG
51%
Loosely correlated
-0.43%
More

Groups containing FERG

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FERG
1D Price
Change %
FERG100%
+0.81%
Wholesale Distributors
(undefined stocks)
70%
Closely correlated
-0.09%
Distribution Services
(undefined stocks)
68%
Closely correlated
-0.22%