FGBI First Guaranty Bancshares Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

FGBI sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

FGBI saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 09, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 42 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 83%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 11, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FGBI as a result. In 80 of 102 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FGBI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

The Aroon Indicator for FGBI entered a downward trend on September 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FGBI's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 15 of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +2.64% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FGBI advanced for three days, in 191 of 257 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

FGBI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. FGBI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: FGBI's P/B Ratio (0.677) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.365). P/E Ratio (61.923) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.254). FGBI's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.682). FGBI has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.005) as compared to the industry average of (0.031). FGBI's P/S Ratio (1.429) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.789).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FGBI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock worse than average.