FIVE stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Five Below Inc is a specialty value retailer offering a broad range of trend-right, high-quality products loved by the kid and the kid in all of customers... Show more
Why Five Below (FIVE) Stock Is Up +23% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- Five Below (FIVE) shares climbed roughly 23.2% over the last 30 days, rising from about $203.19 to $250.24 as of the most recent close.
- The advance extended a broader recovery, with the stock up about 14% over the trailing three-month period despite a sharp post-earnings pullback in early June.
- An analyst upgrade to Buy with a significantly higher price target, upward estimate revisions ahead of the next quarterly report, and a bullish "golden cross" technical signal supported momentum.
- Fundamentals remain strong: first-quarter revenue grew 32.5% year over year and comparable sales rose 22.7%.
- Upcoming catalysts include the company's second-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings report and updated guidance, scheduled for September 2, 2026.
Five Below (FIVE) Company Overview and Market Position
Five Below, Inc. is a specialty value retailer headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, that sells trend-driven, "extreme value" merchandise aimed primarily at teens, pre-teens, and young families. Most items are priced between $1 and $5, with a growing assortment of higher-priced "Five Beyond" products above that threshold. The company organizes its offering across eight merchandising "worlds," including Candy, Style, Party, Room, Create, Tech, Sports, and New & Now.
Founded in 2002, Five Below has scaled rapidly through new-store openings, ending its first quarter of fiscal 2026 with 1,970 stores across 46 states. Investors follow the stock closely because its low-price, "treasure hunt" shopping model tends to hold up well in periods of consumer caution, while comparable-sales growth, unit economics, and store-expansion pace are key drivers of the investment case.
Five Below (FIVE) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, Five Below shares advanced approximately 23.2%, moving from a closing price of $203.19 on July 24, 2026, to $250.24 on August 21, 2026. The move reflected steady accumulation rather than a single-day spike, with the stock posting consistent gains through late July and early August and pushing to a multi-month high.
The quarterly picture is more nuanced. Measured over the trailing three months, the stock is up roughly 14%, but that gain masks considerable volatility. After reporting better-than-expected first-quarter results in early June, shares sold off sharply, sliding from about $222.89 on June 3 to a closing low near $178 in late June. The subsequent rebound in July and August more than recovered those losses, leaving the stock higher over both the 30-day and three-month windows.
What Drove FIVE Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The recent rally was driven by several reinforcing factors. In early August, Jefferies analyst Randal Konik upgraded Five Below to Buy from Neutral and raised the price target to $350 from $210, arguing the retailer is undergoing a structural transformation into a more durable growth story, comparable to the multi-year re-rating of TJX Companies. The upgrade attracted notable attention as the stock approached technical breakout levels.
Supporting that sentiment, sell-side analysts raised consensus earnings estimates heading into the company's second-quarter report, and the shares formed a "golden cross," a technical pattern in which the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average. Third-party foot-traffic data also pointed to continued strong customer visits, reinforcing confidence that demand momentum was persisting beyond any single product trend. Combined with Five Below's positioning as a value retailer during a period of elevated consumer prices, these catalysts helped sustain the advance.
What Drove FIVE Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The trailing quarter was defined by a strong earnings report followed by a temporary reset, then a broad recovery. On June 3, 2026, Five Below reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue of $1.29 billion, up 32.5% year over year, with adjusted earnings per share of $2.22, up 158%, and comparable sales growth of 22.7%. Management also raised full-year revenue and earnings guidance.
Despite the beats, the stock initially fell because investors had priced in elevated expectations and questioned how much of the comparable-sales growth stemmed from temporary factors such as viral "squishy" toy trends and higher tax refunds. Early analyst reactions were mixed, with some firms lowering price targets on valuation concerns while others reiterated Buy ratings. Over the following weeks, sentiment improved as analysts reassessed the durability of the company's merchandising and marketing improvements, the board added an experienced consumer executive, and the broader value-retail segment regained favor. That shift, together with the August upgrade, powered the stock back above its pre-earnings level.
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FIVE Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
The next major catalyst is Five Below's second-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings report, confirmed for September 2, 2026. Investors will focus on comparable-sales growth, gross-margin trends, and whether management reaffirms or adjusts full-year guidance, particularly given management's own caution about a potentially more challenging consumer environment in the back half of the year.
Tariff policy remains an important variable, including the expected reversion of a temporary 10% global tariff rate after July 24 and the possibility of additional IEEPA tariff refunds that are not currently reflected in guidance. Rising fuel and supply-chain costs, labor expense trends, and the sustainability of social-media-driven demand are additional factors to monitor. Finally, the pace of new-store openings and store-level productivity will shape whether the company's elevated comparable-sales momentum can be maintained as comparisons become more difficult.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
FIVE in +11.18% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on August 24, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where FIVE advanced for three days, in of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for FIVE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 272 cases where FIVE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FIVE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
FIVE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FIVE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FIVE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.203) is normal, around the industry mean (4.937). P/E Ratio (32.724) is within average values for comparable stocks, (38.085). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.984) is also within normal values, averaging (1.450). FIVE has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.031). P/S Ratio (2.838) is also within normal values, averaging (1.141).
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General Information
a retaier of clothing and other accessories for teens
Industry SpecialtyStores