FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc. Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

FLY in +2.20% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on September 14, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where FLY advanced for three days, in 49 of 53 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FLY as a result. In 12 of 14 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

FLY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FLY turned negative on August 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 7 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 5 of the 7 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.

FLY moved below its 50-day moving average on August 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FLY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 3 of 3 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The 50-day moving average for FLY moved below the 200-day moving average on August 11, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FLY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

The Aroon Indicator for FLY entered a downward trend on August 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 23 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.926) is normal, around the industry mean (6.216). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (55.286). FLY's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.883). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.376) is also within normal values, averaging (18.486).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. FLY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FLY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.