FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc. Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

FLY in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026

The 10-day moving average for FLY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 3 of 3 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FLY as a result. In 12 of 14 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FLY just turned positive on September 17, 2026. Looking at past instances where FLY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 6 of 7 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

FLY moved above its 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +11.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FLY advanced for three days, in 50 of 54 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 7 of 11 cases where FLY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FLY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

FLY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for FLY entered a downward trend on September 24, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 26 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.300) is normal, around the industry mean (6.305). P/E Ratio (2.760) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.116). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.070) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.751) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FLY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FLY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.