Forward Air Corp is an asset-light freight and logistics company... Show more
Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) is an asset-light freight and logistics provider specializing in expedited less-than-truckload (LTL) services, local pick-up and delivery, shipment consolidation, warehousing, and customs brokerage. Operating across North America, it serves freight forwarders, third-party logistics firms, air cargo carriers, and retailers through segments like Expedited Freight, Omni Logistics, and Intermodal. In a competitive transportation and logistics industry, FWRD differentiates with its network efficiency and focus on air freight ground support. Recent fundamentals, including Omni segment growth and cost controls, underpin the stock's volatility, as exposure to cyclical freight demand amplifies price movements during sector recoveries.
Over the last 30 days, FWRD stock climbed +26%, advancing from around $16.60 near April 4 to a recent close of $21.33 before today's intraday levels. The movement was trend-driven with steady gains in mid-April, peaking near $23.60 on April 27, before mild consolidation, reflecting improved market sentiment in logistics.
For the past quarter, the stock declined -44%, dropping from $29.75 around February 4 to current levels. Performance was volatile and range-bound early, with a sharp mid-March selloff from $22 to sub-$16 lows, followed by a partial rebound but no full recovery, amid broader sector pressures.
The 30-day +26% surge stemmed from operational momentum and positive recognitions. In April, FWRD earned spots on USA TODAY’s America’s Climate Leaders 2026 list and Newsweek’s Most Trustworthy Companies, boosting investor confidence in its sustainability and reliability. Progress in integrating the One Ground Network and expanding Latin America operations enhanced efficiency, countering freight softness. Analyst maintains, like Stifel’s Buy rating with a $30 target on April 16, sustained buying interest. Sector sentiment shifted as logistics demand stabilized post-winter, with FWRD's asset-light model aiding margin resilience. These factors fueled a steady uptrend, with volume supporting the rally.
The quarterly -44% drop was dominated by earnings disappointments and freight market challenges. Q4 2025 results in February showed revenue beats at $631 million but EPS miss at -$0.28 versus -$0.26 expected, with ongoing losses (TTM EPS -$3.51). Intermodal volumes fell amid weak port activity and trade softness, dragging EBITDA down 30% in that segment. Broader macro headwinds like elevated costs, inflation in transportation, and geopolitical risks amplified pressure. A mid-March plunge erased early gains, though Q4 highlights of $307 million EBITDA and 2026 growth strategy offered some support. Institutional focus on profitability amid estimate cuts outweighed positives, leading to the net decline.
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Investors should monitor Q1 2026 earnings on May 7, focusing on EPS estimates of -$0.39, revenue trends, and updates on EBITDA margins. Progress in One Ground Network integration and Omni Logistics growth will signal operational leverage. Industry trends like freight volume recovery and fuel costs could sway sentiment, alongside macro factors such as interest rates and trade policies impacting LTL demand. Strategic developments, including Latin America expansion and tech upgrades, offer catalysts, while risks from persistent losses or intermodal weakness loom. Analyst revisions toward the $35 target and board changes may influence positioning.
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Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where FWRD advanced for three days, in of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 27, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FWRD as a result. In of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FWRD just turned positive on May 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where FWRD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 232 cases where FWRD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for FWRD moved out of overbought territory on June 17, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 25 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 19 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FWRD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
FWRD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FWRD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.353) is normal, around the industry mean (3.325). P/E Ratio (10.213) is within average values for comparable stocks, (204.909). FWRD's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.303). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.173) is also within normal values, averaging (1.004).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FWRD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of surface transportation facilities for deferred air freight
Industry OtherTransportation